The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Árabe Unido 70.5%
Draw 19.3%
Herrera 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
25.5%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
22.3%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Árabe Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Árabe Unido's performance.
Herrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Herrera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herrera than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Árabe Unido - Herrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Mosquera K. (G) 4. Bernal D. 16. Jimenez Abdiel 19. Harrison J. (C) 24. Munoz M. 20. Collymore R. 26. Reefer O. 29. Valencia J. 35. Jimenez J. 11. McClean F. 9. Villalobos J.
1. Melgar K. (G) 2. Nunez S. 24. De Gracia J. 4. Moreno M. 5. Aguilar A. 14. Triana L. 6. Bethancourt F. (C) 22. Gomez E. 7. Villarreal R. 10. Cox Goods J. C. 17. Betegon J.
Substitutes
8. Breary M. 27. Ceballos M. 7. Espada J. 28. Filos J. 3. Llerena O. 66. Miller A. 10. Palacios A. 18. Penalba O. 1. Polo R. (G)
15. Buelvas A. 18. Castillo D. 20. Lopez J. 19. Penalba A. 40. Perez P. 30. Roman S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Villalobos J. ⚽,
26', Bethancourt F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', McClean F. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
46', De Gracia J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
46', Nunez S. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
61', Betegon J. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
61', Villarreal R. ↓, Penalba A. ↑,
63', Palacios A. 🟨,
66', Reefer O. ↓, Filos J. ↑,
67', Bernal D. 🟥,
70', 1 - 1, Cox Goods J. C. ⚽,
71', Jimenez Abdiel ↓, Llerena O. ↑,
71', Cox Goods J. C. 🟨,
80', Triana L. ↓, Buelvas A. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Collymore R. ⚽,
90+2', Villalobos J. ↓, Penalba O. ↑,
90+2', Valencia J. ↓, Breary M. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Árabe Unido won 1.
Árabe Unido has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Herrera has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this match, Árabe Unido enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Árabe Unido has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Árabe Unido against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).
Mexico
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Mosquera K. (G) 
Miller A. 
Buelvas A. 
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