Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Berlin)

Referee: Benen L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hertha Berlin		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.50	3.75	2.55
	2.55	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.64	3.8	2.67
	2.52	3.66	2.61	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.5
	2.73	3.54	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.15)	3.61 ↓ (3.62)	2.53 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hertha Berlin
36.2%

Draw
26.3%

Heidenheim
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

25.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hertha Berlin's form might have worsened.

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hertha Berlin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gersbeck M. (G) 2. Eitschberger J. 44. Gechter L. 27. Kolbe N. 42. Zeefuik D. 8. Sessa K. 30. Seguin P. 22. Winkler M. 33. Gouram S. 7. Brekalo J. (C) 17. Gronning S.	1. Feller F. (G) 22. Mhamdi O. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 19. Fohrenbach J. 24. Costly M. 18. Pieringer M. 3. Schoppner J. 21. Beck A. 17. Honsak M. 11. Zivzivadze B.
Substitutes
19. Adewumi O. 31. Dardai M. 29. Diallo J. 43. Goller T. (G) 41. Klemens P. 21. Mamuzah Lum B. 18. Schuler L. 47. Telib S. 23. Thorsteinsson J.	14. Breunig M. 2. Busch M. 33. Dahne T. (G) 5. Gimber B. 8. Hennrich P. 29. Kaufmann M. 16. Niehues J. 23. Paqarada L. 41. Zrilic M.
Coaches
Leitl S.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Gronning S. ⚽, Winkler M. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Winkler M. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Zeefuik D. ⚽, Winkler M. (A),
39', Mainka P. 🟨,
44', Mhamdi O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Honsak M. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
46', Mainka P. ↓, Gimber B. ↑,
46', Mhamdi O. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
46', Beck A. ↓, Zrilic M. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Schoppner J. ⚽, Kaufmann M. (A),
64', Gouram S. ↓, Adewumi O. ↑,
64', Gronning S. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
73', Eitschberger J. 🟨,
77', Winkler M. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
78', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
83', Eitschberger J. ↓, Dardai M. ↑,
83', Sessa K. ↓, Thorsteinsson J. ↑,
88', Zeefuik D. 🟥,
90', 4 - 1, Adewumi O. ⚽, Brekalo J. (A),

Preview

Hertha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heidenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hertha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Heidenheim has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Hertha: Christensen G. (Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Injury) Kolle A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Kaufmann M. (Forearm injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hertha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 32.01% Heidenheim: 6.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17:7	10	18
3	Heidenheim	7	4	2	1	14:12	2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Hertha Berlin - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 43.78%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
07.08.26	Bochum - Hertha Berlin	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Köln - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
21.07.26	Hertha Berlin - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Hertha Berlin - Swarovski Tirol	3:2 ✺
11.07.26	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 WTTWW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.26	Heidenheim - Osnabrück	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Heidenheim - Ingolstadt	4:1 ✺
25.07.26	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	1:3 ✺
22.07.26	Bologna - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
10.07.26	Heidenheim - Lugano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	2:1
10.02.16	Heidenheim - Hertha Berlin	2:3

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