Match Info

Date: 12 September 2020, Saturday


	Hetman Zamość		Avia Świdnik

	1	X	2
	9.5	6.75	1.17
	10	7	1.15
	10	6.4	1.17
	9.4	6.9	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.73 ↑ (5.9)	6.76 ↑ (4.76)	1.17 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hetman Zamość
9.3%

Draw
13.4%

Avia Świdnik
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

18.9%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

16.9%

73.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hetman Zamość has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hetman Zamość's form might have worsened.

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Avia Świdnik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hetman Zamość than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Hetman Zamość - Avia Świdnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 21 and 4).

Hetman Zamość is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Avia Świdnik is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Avia Świdnik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Avia Świdnik is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hetman Zamość won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Hetman Zamość won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hetman Zamość
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
06.09.20	Hetman Zamość - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
29.08.20	Cracovia 2 - Hetman Zamość	2:1 ✺
26.08.20	Hetman Zamość - Orlęta Radzyń Podlaski	0:0 ✺
23.08.20	Sokół Sieniawa - Hetman Zamość	3:0 ✺
15.08.20	Hetman Zamość - Wisła Puławy	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLTLL
- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
09.09.20	Avia Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	6:1 ✺
05.09.20	Jutrzenka Giebułtów - Avia Świdnik	0:6 ✺
29.08.20	Avia Świdnik - Wolczanka Wolka Pelkinska	2:4 ✺
26.08.20	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Avia Świdnik	0:1 ✺
22.08.20	Avia Świdnik - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.03.20	Hetman Zamość - Avia Świdnik	0:0
15.08.19	Avia Świdnik - Hetman Zamość	1:0

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