Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORTH - ROUND 18

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Hildesheim		St. Pauli II

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.5
	1.91	3.65	3.3
	1.8	3.85	3.65
	1.88	3.89	3.7
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.88	3.72	3.72
	1.82	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.3)	3.71 ↑ (3.48)	3.54 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hildesheim
49.5%

Draw
24.7%

St. Pauli II
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

26%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hildesheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hildesheim's performance.

St. Pauli II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Pauli II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hildesheim than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hildesheim that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Pauli II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Hildesheim - St. Pauli II Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hildesheim will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). St. Pauli II will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hildesheim: 59% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hildesheim won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

St. Pauli II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hildesheim have a series of guest games.

Hildesheim will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hildesheim won 1 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hildesheim won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfV 06 Hildesheim
German Regionalliga North
06.11.22	Werder Bremen II - Hildesheim	0:0 ✺
01.11.22	Kickers Emden - Hildesheim	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Phönix Lübeck - Hildesheim	3:2 ✺
19.10.22	Drochtersen Assel - Hildesheim	1:1 ✺
16.10.22	Hildesheim - Holstein Kiel II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLTT
- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
08.11.22	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	0:0 ✺
04.11.22	St. Pauli II - Hannover II	1:5 ✺
30.10.22	Bremer SV - St. Pauli II	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	St. Pauli II - Kickers Emden	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.10.22	Todesfelde - St. Pauli II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
09.05.18	Hildesheim - St. Pauli II	0:3
20.08.17	St. Pauli II - Hildesheim	5:0
20.05.17	Hildesheim - St. Pauli II	1:1
01.03.17	St. Pauli II - Hildesheim	1:1
30.01.16	St. Pauli II - Hildesheim	2:2
26.07.15	Hildesheim - St. Pauli II	4:1

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