Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 31

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	St. Pauli II		Holstein Kiel II

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.9	3.55
	1.95	4.12	3.45
	1.75	4.2	3.58
	1.77	3.95	3.56
	1.85	3.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.5)	4.01 ↓ (4.37)	3.54 ↓ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
50.6%

Draw
23.1%

Holstein Kiel II
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

20.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pauli II's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holstein Kiel II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Holstein Kiel II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Schroder T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 2 - 0, Schroder T. ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, Schroder T. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli II won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

St. Pauli II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently St. Pauli II have a series of guest games.

St. Pauli II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches St. Pauli II won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli II won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
21.04.25	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Werder Bremen II - St. Pauli II	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Meppen - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	St. Pauli II - Todesfelde	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
13.04.25	Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde	1:3 ✺
04.04.25	Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	2:4 ✺
22.03.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Holstein Kiel II	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Jeddeloh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
13.10.24	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	0:4
27.04.24	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	1:1
28.10.23	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	2:3
26.05.23	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	3:5
08.11.22	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	0:0
04.12.21	Holstein Kiel II - St. Pauli II	0:0
18.09.21	St. Pauli II - Holstein Kiel II	0:2

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