Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 27

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Right to Dream Park (Farum)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hillerød		Roskilde

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.75
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.8	5.54
	1.65	3.71	5.24	Watch
	1.65	3.99	4.74	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.5)	3.87 ↓ (4.2)	5.17 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
57.5%

Draw
24.3%

Roskilde
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

21.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

21.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hillerød, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hillerød - Roskilde Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Roskilde will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 1 - 50%). Roskilde (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Roskilde (4.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Roskilde (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kappenberger A. (G) 25. Glindtvad W. 7. Witt J. 4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 3. Allen C. 12. Schmidt N. 6. Due Grandt M. 27. Johansen D. 10. Bay M. 23. Veltz M. 17. Justinussen A.	1. Schram F. (G) 26. Lysholm M. 14. Nyegaard K. 4. Skolnik O. 2. Juhl M. 18. Maarup A. 6. Halse N. (C) 3. Jensen Juul O. 11. Baskaya S. 9. Uhd M. 10. Arabaci R.
Substitutes
34. Alicino A. 29. Al Mosawe A. 8. Arndal T. 26. Asare B. (G) 9. Etim M. 16. Koktvedgaard T. 11. Larsen P. 2. Moller R. 14. Opoku S.	25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 34. Halsgaard A. 23. Hamade Z. 22. Heerfordt K. 30. Hjorth Reenberg O. (G) 24. Svensson V. 12. Vesterbaek N.
Coaches
Lonstrup C.	Johannsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Arabaci R. ⚽, Halse N. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Justinussen A. ⚽, Veltz M. (A),
39', Glindtvad W. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Veltz M. ⚽, Bay M. (A),
59', Bay M. ↓, Arndal T. ↑,
59', Veltz M. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
59', Due Grandt M. ↓, Alicino A. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Arndal T. ⚽, Etim M. (A),
64', Lysholm M. ↓, Halsgaard A. ↑,
64', Juhl M. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
64', Justinussen A. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
68', Baskaya S. ↓, Faester A. ↑,
69', 🟨,
75', 3 - 2, Engqvist F. ⚽,
77', Glindtvad W. ↓, Moller R. ↑,
84', Halsgaard A. 🟨,
87', 4 - 2, Moller R. ⚽,
88', Arabaci R. ↓, Hamade Z. ↑,
88', Halse N. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
90+7', 5 - 2, Johansen D. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Hillerød is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roskilde is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Roskilde could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hillerød is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hillerød won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
17.04.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	HB Køge - Hillerød	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Hillerød - Hobro	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Vendsyssel - Hillerød	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Hillerød - B.93 Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWTT
- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
17.04.25	Roskilde - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Vendsyssel - Roskilde	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Roskilde - B.93 Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
30.03.25	Hobro - Roskilde	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	HB Køge - Roskilde	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
01.03.25	Roskilde - Hillerød	1:2
02.08.24	Hillerød - Roskilde	2:0
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
05.06.21	Hillerød - Roskilde	2:3
25.09.20	Roskilde - Hillerød	0:1

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