Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 25

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Secma Ground (Hillerød)

Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hillerød		Nykøbing

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.4
	1.65	3.9	4.7
	1.68	4.2	4.65
				Watch
	1.69	3.98	4.65	Watch
	1.63	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.85)	3.95 ↑ (3.3)	4.61 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
56.1%

Draw
23.7%

Nykøbing
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.5%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hillerød's performance.

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+2%)

Hillerød - Nykøbing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Hillerød is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nykøbing is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nykøbing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hillerød is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hillerød to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hillerød won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
10.04.23	Hobro - Hillerød	2:1 ✺
01.04.23	Hillerød - Fremad Amager	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.23	Helsingør - Hillerød	0:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
18.03.23	HB Køge - Hillerød	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Hillerød - Næstved BK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWW
- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
09.04.23	Nykøbing - HB Køge	3:5 ✺
31.03.23	Fredericia - Nykøbing	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	SønderjyskE - Nykøbing	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Nykøbing - HB Køge	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
15.10.22	Nykøbing - Hillerød	1:1
17.09.22	Hillerød - Nykøbing	3:1
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
27.03.21	Nykøbing - Hillerød	0:0
17.10.20	Hillerød - Nykøbing	1:3

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