Match Info

1st Division - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: DS Arena (Hobro)

Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hobro		Hillerød

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.45	2.67
	2.67	3.42	2.39	Watch
	2.55	3.42	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.73)	3.41 ↑ (3.39)	2.54 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
35.9%

Draw
27.4%

Hillerød
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.7%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Hobro - Hillerød Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dakir J. (G) 12. Jacobsen M. 15. Bjerge G. 13. Dietz F. 8. Pedersen M. 7. Klitten O. 17. Hyltoft Z. 18. Sogaard E. (C) 27. Klitten L. 9. Andreasen S. 10. Rasmussen V.	1. Kappenberger A. (G) 18. Lauritsen O. 21. Enghardt K. 2. Moller R. 3. Allen C. 11. Mouritz M. 12. Schmidt N. (C) 24. Dedes V. 8. Arndal T. 17. Justinussen A. 22. Jalaei S.
Substitutes
40. Boye M. 23. Bruhn M. 47. Bryld A. 11. Hauge R. 5. Kannegaard M. 21. Lind J. 6. Mortensen F. 22. Nielsen M. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)	4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 26. Dithmer A. (G) 6. Due Grandt M. 25. Glindtvad W. 14. Opoku S. 9. Pohl J. 80. Sulemana H. 16. Toftegaard H.
Coaches
Gjesing J.	Lonstrup C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Moller R. ⚽, Justinussen A. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Andreasen S. ⚽,
29', Schmidt N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Justinussen A. ⚽, Dedes V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedersen M. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
56', Hauge R. 🟨,
62', Lauritsen O. ↓, Glindtvad W. ↑,
62', Jacobsen M. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
62', Schmidt N. ↓, Due Grandt M. ↑,
63', Andreasen S. 🟨,
71', Jalaei S. 🟨,
72', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
72', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Mortensen F. ↑,
72', Arndal T. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
72', Jalaei S. ↓, Pohl J. ↑,
81', Dietz F. 🟨,
83', Klitten L. ↓, Lind J. ↑,
86', Dedes V. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
90+3', Boje-Larsen L. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hobro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hobro has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
16.10.25	Esbjerg - Hobro	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Horsens - Hobro	3:3 ✺
28.09.25	Hobro - Kolding IF	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Aarhus Fremad - Hobro	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
20.09.25	Aarhus Fremad - Hobro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TTTWL
- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
18.10.25	Hillerød - Hvidovre	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Middelfart - Hillerød	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Hillerød - Horsens	2:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Hillerød - AGF Aarhus	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
20.09.25	Hvidovre - Hillerød	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
16.08.25	Hillerød - Hobro	0:2
02.05.25	Hobro - Hillerød	0:0
04.04.25	Hillerød - Hobro	2:0
11.11.24	Hobro - Hillerød	2:2
21.07.24	Hillerød - Hobro	2:2
13.11.23	Hobro - Hillerød	0:0
04.08.23	Hillerød - Hobro	0:1

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