Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - ROUND 8

Date: 1 September 2023, Friday

Location: Secma Ground (Hillerød)

Referee: Dommerudveksling N. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hillerød		SønderjyskE

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.73	Watch
	4.1	3.95	1.72
	4.35	3.96	1.77
				Watch
	4.05	3.96	1.79	Watch
	4	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (5.08)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)	1.75 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
22.1%

Draw
24.4%

SønderjyskE
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.2%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.1%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SønderjyskE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SønderjyskE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	0%	81%

Hillerød - SønderjyskE Predictions

Users Predictions: SønderjyskE will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Lykke W. (G) 7. Witt J. 2. Moller R. 4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 18. Sharif S. 8. Arndal T. 6. Due Grandt M. 34. Alicino A. 12. Schmidt N. 11. Ahmad A. 81. Pingel S.	1. Flo N. (G) 21. Barkarson A. 3. Waever S. 18. Nikolov I. 12. Koch S. 24. Vinderslev R. 26. Sommer T. 7. Emini S. 10. Ingason K. 17. Gallegos J. 20. Christiansen P.
Substitutes
13. Al Atlassi M. 1. Azizi O. (G) 5. Boje-Larsen L. 16. Hassan A. 23. Hojmark-Jensen A. 28. Langberg M. 27. Panjeskovic F. 70. Rindom J. 9. Schousboe V.	25. Agger M. 14. Andreasen S. 11. Berggreen E. 28. Dakir J. (G) 5. Dal Hende M. 23. Hansen M. 15. Kristensen M. 22. Oggesen A. 16. Thorsen J.
Coaches
Lonstrup C.	Norgaard T.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Hillerød is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SønderjyskE is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match SønderjyskE is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hillerød won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Hillerød won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
27.08.23	Aalborg BK - Hillerød	3:0 ✺
23.08.23	Helsingør - Hillerød	1:6 ✺
19.08.23	Hillerød - Vendsyssel	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Fredericia - Hillerød	3:2 ✺
04.08.23	Hillerød - Hobro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWLL
- SønderjyskE
Danish 1 Division
28.08.23	Hobro - SønderjyskE	1:2 ✺
23.08.23	SønderjyskE - HB Køge	4:0 ✺
18.08.23	Kolding IF - SønderjyskE	1:3 ✺
12.08.23	SønderjyskE - Horsens	5:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.08.23	Horsens - SønderjyskE	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
21.10.22	SønderjyskE - Hillerød	2:3
30.07.22	Hillerød - SønderjyskE	1:5
Danish Landspokal Cup
01.09.21	Hillerød - SønderjyskE	0:5

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