Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Roskilde Idrætspark (Roskilde)

Referee: Lykke M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Viaplay


	Roskilde		Hillerød

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.9	1.95
	3.8	3.7	1.77
	3.25	3.95	1.98	Watch
	3.31	3.94	2.04
	3.27	3.84	2	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.83
	3.27	3.93	1.97	Watch
	3.25	3.95	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (4.37)	3.85 ↑ (3.63)	1.94 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roskilde
27.6%

Draw
24.3%

Hillerød
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

25.6%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.9%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roskilde's performance.

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roskilde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hillerød could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Roskilde - Hillerød Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Roskilde will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Hillerød will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roskilde (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jensen A. (G) 26. Lysholm M. 14. Nyegaard K. 34. Halsgaard A. 2. Juhl M. 18. Maarup A. 6. Halse N. (C) 3. Jensen Juul O. 11. Baskaya S. 9. Uhd M. 15. Taranis A.	1. Kappenberger A. (G) 25. Glindtvad W. 6. Due Grandt M. 2. Moller R. 3. Allen C. 12. Schmidt N. 34. Alicino A. 27. Johansen D. 23. Veltz M. 11. Larsen P. 8. Arndal T.
Substitutes
5. Askham H. 25. Engqvist F. 27. Faester A. 23. Hamade Z. 22. Heerfordt K. 30. Hjorth Reenberg O. (G) 8. Kristensen M. 7. Nielsen E. 24. Svensson V.	26. Asare B. (G) 10. Bay M. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 21. Enghardt K. 9. Etim M. 22. Jalaei S. 16. Koktvedgaard T. 7. Witt J.
Coaches
Johannsen K.	Lonstrup C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Veltz M. ⚽, Due Grandt M. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Maarup A. ⚽, Jensen Juul O. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Uhd M. ⚽, Juhl M. (A),
50', Baskaya S. 🟨,
52', Alicino A. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
53', 3 - 1, Maarup A. ⚽, Taranis A. (A),
65', 3 - 2, Due Grandt M. ⚽, Arndal T. (A),
68', Due Grandt M. ↓, Bay M. ↑,
71', Lysholm M. ↓, Askham H. ↑,
71', Baskaya S. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
76', Juhl M. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
76', Arndal T. ↓, Koktvedgaard T. ↑,
76', Johansen D. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
85', Halse N. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
86', 4 - 2, Uhd M. ⚽, Taranis A. (A),

Preview

Roskilde has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hillerød is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Roskilde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hillerød is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roskilde won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Roskilde won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Roskilde
Danish 1 Division
09.05.25	Roskilde - Hobro	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	HB Køge - Roskilde	4:3 ✺
26.04.25	Roskilde - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Hillerød - Roskilde	5:2 ✺
17.04.25	Roskilde - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWLT
- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
08.05.25	Hillerød - B.93 Copenhagen	5:2 ✺
02.05.25	Hobro - Hillerød	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Hillerød - HB Køge	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Hillerød - Roskilde	5:2 ✺
17.04.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
20.04.25	Hillerød - Roskilde	5:2
01.03.25	Roskilde - Hillerød	1:2
02.08.24	Hillerød - Roskilde	2:0
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
05.06.21	Hillerød - Roskilde	2:3
25.09.20	Roskilde - Hillerød	0:1

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