Match Info

NSW League One - Round 13

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Hills United		University of New South Wales

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	1.95
	2.95	3.9	1.97
	3.04	4.05	2
	3.02	4.08	1.95
	3.13	3.86	1.92
	2.95	3.9	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (4.61)	3.9 ↓ (4.57)	1.96 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hills United
30.2%

Draw
23.4%

University of New South Wales
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

19.8%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

19.3%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hills United's performance.

University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and University of New South Wales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hills United than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hills United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that University of New South Wales could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hills United - University of New South Wales Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 6).

Recent form of Hills United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

UNSW's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UNSW may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

UNSW might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills United
Australian NSW League One
26.04.25	Dulwich Hill - Hills United	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Hills United - Bankstown City Lions	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - Hills United	3:3 ✺
05.04.25	Hills United - Rydalmere Lions	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Hills United - Bulls Academy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTTLL
- University of New South Wales FC
Australian NSW League One
25.04.25	University of New South Wales - Canterbury Bankstown	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Macarthur Rams - University of New South Wales	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	University of New South Wales - Bulls Academy	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Blacktown Spartans - University of New South Wales	0:5 ✺
29.03.25	University of New South Wales - Inter Lions	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWWL

Hills United - University of New South Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide