Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Kogut O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Rukh Lviv		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.95	3.3	1.72
	5.68	3.36	1.73
	5.64	3.49	1.72	Watch
	5	3.1	1.7
	5.2	3.33	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (4.28)	3.32 ↓ (3.67)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rukh Lviv
17.6%

Draw
28.2%

Kharkiv
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.9%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kharkiv will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Rukh (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Rukh (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rukh (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gereta Y. (G) 93. Roman V. 4. Kyrychok M. 76. Tovarnytskyi O. 33. Zalypka A. 15. Pidgurskyi D. (C) 8. Raileanu V. 56. Boyko M. 10. Prytula O. 9. Neves I. 30. Talles Brener	30. Varakuta D. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 27. Krupskyi I. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 26. Zabergja B. 11. Churko V. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 15. Antyukh D. 98. Itodo P.
Substitutes
77. Almazbekov B. 2. Denisov K. 50. Denysov I. 7. Klayver 28. Klymenko Y. (G) 47. Kvas K. 25. Levytskyi B. 52. Rybak K. 65. Sebro D. 34. Slyva D. 79. Yasinsky V.	7. Ari Moura 8. Castillo S. 77. Cauan Baptistella 37. Dubko V. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 2. Kapinus D. 17. Kogut I. 25. Lytvynenko I. 24. Martynyuk O. 99. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 19. Rashica E.
Coaches
Fedyk I.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
25', 0 - 1, Pavlyuk Y. ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, Zabergja B. ⚽, Krupskyi I. (A),
39', Kyrychok M. ↓, Levytskyi B. ↑,
45+2', Roman V. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 3, Shabanov A. ⚽, Pavlyuk Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Neves I. ↓, Denysov I. ↑,
46', Boyko M. ↓, Klayver ↑,
59', Raileanu V. ↓, Rybak K. ↑,
60', Zabergja B. ↓, Rashica E. ↑,
60', Antyukh D. ↓, Ari Moura ↑,
60', Shabanov A. ↓, Dubko V. ↑,
69', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Kalitvintsev V. ↑,
78', Itodo P. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
90', Prytula O. ↓, Kvas K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 2.

Recent form of Rukh has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metalist 1925 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metalist 1925 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Metalist 1925 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metalist 1925 is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rukh won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rukh Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
01.03.26	Obolon - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Dynamo Kyiv - Rukh Lviv	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Rukh Lviv - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Rukh Lviv - Brinje-Grosuplje	2:3 ✺
11.02.26	Radomlje - Rukh Lviv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Cup
05.03.26	Kharkiv - Lokomotyv Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
28.02.26	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Kharkiv - Kryvbas	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.26	Molde - Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Kharkiv - Hammarby	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
30.08.25	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	2:0
16.03.24	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	1:4
03.09.23	Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv	1:1
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv	2:0
Ukrainian Premier League
04.05.23	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	0:0
23.10.22	Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv	1:1
Club Friendly
18.02.22	Rukh Lviv - Kharkiv	2:2

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