Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Oleksandriya		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.7
	2.48	3.2	2.72
	2.52	3.33	2.74
	2.74	3.23	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.62
	2.68	3.42	2.7	Watch
	2.34	2.98	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.48)	3.21 ↑ (3.18)	2.62 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
36.1%

Draw
28.8%

Kharkiv
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

27.5%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Oleksandriya - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kharkiv will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oleksandriya (votes: 1 - 50%). Kharkiv (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Shevchenko M. (C) 22. Skorko D. 86. Bol A. 50. Behiratche J. 16. Ndicka Matam T. 71. Shostak D. 24. Touati H. 59. Kozak A. 9. Myshnyov D. 27. Cara T. 10. Kulakov A.	30. Varakuta D. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 24. Martynyuk O. 15. Antyukh D. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 25. Lytvynenko I. 19. Rashica E. 98. Itodo P.
Substitutes
49. Amaral M. 8. Buletsa S. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 5. Fernando Henrique 44. Jhonnatan 19. Jota 23. Oharkov M. 97. Prokopenko N. 55. Smyrnyi Y. 2. Ukhan I.	7. Ari Moura 11. Churko V. 14. Gadzhyev R. 2. Kapinus D. 17. Kogut I. 88. Korol A. 80. Mba C. 1. Mozil O. (G) 8. Obinaya S. 91. Panchenko M. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 13. Salyuk V.
Coaches
Nesterenko K.	Bartulovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 4)
48', 0 - 1, Kaliuzhnyi I. ⚽, Pavlyuk Y. (A),
60', Itodo P. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
61', Shostak D. 🟨,
65', Shostak D. ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
66', Kozak A. ↓, Buletsa S. ↑,
66', Touati H. ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
70', Cara T. ↓, Jota ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Rashica E. ⚽, Kaliuzhnyi I. (A),
77', Kulakov A. ↓, Amaral M. ↑,
78', Rashica E. ↓, Ari Moura ↑,
79', Kalitvintsev V. ↓, Panchenko M. ↑,
88', Lytvynenko I. ↓, Churko V. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Jota ⚽, Fernando Henrique (A),
90', 1 - 3, Gadzhyev R. ⚽, Panchenko M. (A),
90+3', 1 - 4, Gadzhyev R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 3.

Oleksandriya is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Metalist 1925 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Oleksandriya has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Metalist 1925 will win today's game, with odds of 2.78.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Oleksandriya won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.25	Obolon - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Kudrivka - Oleksandriya	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Partizan - Oleksandriya	4:0 ✺
24.07.25	Oleksandriya - Partizan	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	Slaven Belupo - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
09.08.25	Kryvbas - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
04.08.25	Kharkiv - Obolon	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
16.07.25	Kharkiv - Waldhof Mannheim	0:3 ✺
07.07.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Kharkiv	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
11.12.23	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:3
05.08.23	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	1:0
15.04.23	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:0
27.02.23	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	3:3
05.11.21	Oleksandriya - Kharkiv	2:0
Ukrainian Cup
26.10.21	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	2:5

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