Match Info

UKRAINE: PERSHA LIGA - ROUND 12

Date: 13 October 2023, Friday


	Hirnyk-Sport		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.8
	3.84	3.31	1.86
	4.1	3.45	1.83
	4.2	3.5	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.16)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hirnyk-Sport
22.7%

Draw
26.8%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

25.6%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hirnyk-Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hirnyk-Sport's form might have worsened.

Metalurh Zaporizhya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metalurh Zaporizhya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hirnyk-Sport than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hirnyk-Sport, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Hirnyk Sport - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Protsenko Y. (G) 15. Chernysh D. 14. Chibueze C. 30. Effiong E. 89. Gora B. 18. Kalchuk O. 10. Molko V. 94. Moroz Y. O. (C) 9. Posyevkin R. 27. Romanenko A. 19. Tuzenko D.	12. Bayda N. (G) 87. Basov S. 10. Bilotserkovets V. 11. Buryak R. 25. Krapyvny D. 19. Mogylnyi B. 4. Piddubnyi D. 8. Sad V. 97. Seytkhalilov S. 3. Sokol B. 69. Strads M.
Substitutes
13. Chertkoev I. 11. Dmytriev D. 12. Kozlov S. (G) 90. Ornat A. 66. Petrov Y. 17. Podrezan O. 77. Sheptitskyi M. 95. Veklych D. (G) 24. Vysochyn D. 79. Yanchuk D. 20. Yurchenko I. 99. Zhukov M.	7. Falkovskyi D. 20. Galata D. 70. Irodovskyi D. 1. Nikolayenko G. (G) 29. Palyukh S. 14. Polyovyi V. 96. Snizhko O.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hirnyk-Sport won 4.

Hirnyk-Sport is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Metalurh Z is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Metalurh Z is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hirnyk-Sport won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hirnyk-Sport won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hirnyk-Sport
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.10.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Hirnyk-Sport	2:3 ✺
01.10.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
24.09.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Inhulets	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Chernihiv - Hirnyk-Sport	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Hirnyk-Sport - Poltava	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTLL
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.10.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Kremin Kremenchuk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:2 ✺
24.09.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Dinaz Vyshgorod	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:2 ✺
09.09.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.08.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Hirnyk-Sport	0:1
20.11.22	Hirnyk-Sport - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1
30.09.22	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Hirnyk-Sport	0:1
Ukrainian Cup
31.08.21	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Hirnyk-Sport	2:3
17.09.20	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Hirnyk-Sport	1:4
Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.08.20	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Hirnyk-Sport	3:2
14.09.19	Hirnyk-Sport - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0

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