Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 26

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhia)


	Metalurh Zaporizhya		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.55
	5.7	3.7	1.55
	5.8	3.83	1.47
	4.64	3.97	1.61	Watch
	5.75	3.4	1.5
	6.48	3.81	1.46
	4.6	3.58	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.46 ↑ (4.6)	3.7 ↑ (3.58)	1.53 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurh Zaporizhya
16.6%

Draw
24.4%

Viktoriya Sumy
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

24.7%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

23.6%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Viktoriya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. (C) 7. Irodovskyi D. 50. Kirichenko D. 27. Klymenko V. 28. Rudavskyi M. 8. Savitskyi A. 97. Seytkhalilov S. 14. Sitalo A. 16. Vorona M. 17. Yurechko I.	31. Kucheruk V. (G) 9. Chernov O. 6. Khamelyuk V. 10. Knysh D. 16. Novotryasov A. 28. Ryabyi D. 45. Sasovskyi M. 25. Sharay S. 33. Ulyanov D. (C) 5. Vasyliev O. 15. Yevpak M.
Substitutes
19. Borysenko V. 3. Doroshenko D. 29. Lisnyak R. 25. Misanov M. 76. Mokrytskyi V. (G) 9. Nekhtiy V. 33. Shmitko Y. 23. Slyusar D. 10. Zelinskyi D.	17. Dedyaev A. 27. Dolinskyi D. 11. Lebedenko O. 32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 29. Ryabyi A. 19. Savitsky V. J. 22. Shpyryonok A. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 1.

Metalurh Z is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Viktoriya is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metalurh Z may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Viktoriya is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalurh Z won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viktoria	10	6	2	2	12:6	6	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.04.26	Probiy Horodenka - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:6 ✺
12.04.26	Inhulets - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLL
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Chornomorets Odesa	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Viktoriya Sumy	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0
08.10.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0
17.08.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:3
Ukrainian Cup
03.08.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.10.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	2:0
06.08.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1
Ukrainian Druha Liga
11.09.21	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:1

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