Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 10

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kremin Stadium (Kremenchuk)


	Kremin Kremenchuk		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.45	1.84
	6.33	4.19	1.45	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.73
	6.39	4.1	1.43
	4.1	3.35	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (2.93)	3.7 ↑ (3.39)	1.65 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kremin Kremenchuk
18.9%

Draw
25%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

27.1%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kremin Kremenchuk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kremin Kremenchuk's form might have worsened.

Metalurh Zaporizhya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metalurh Zaporizhya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kremin Kremenchuk than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kremin Kremenchuk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metalurh Zaporizhya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kremin Kremenchuk - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matus A. (G) 79. Borovskyi A. 19. Dmitro S. 29. Dykhtyaruk O. (C) 27. Molko V. 21. Palamarchuk I. 18. Pasternak N. 23. Prokopchuk D. 7. Trofymyuk M. 17. Zhdanovych O. 51. Zlatyev Z.	12. Bayda N. (G) 77. Bandurin A. 18. Bliznichenko A. 19. Borysenko V. 8. Falkovskyi D. 7. Irodovskyi D. 21. Klymenko V. 13. Kozlov A. 25. Krapyvny D. (C) 29. Palyukh S. 6. Strads M.
Substitutes
15. Barinov Y. 13. Bilokon V. 14. Koloskov A. 55. Kuts I. 11. Maksymenko V. 40. Oksenenko S. (G) 8. Panchyshyn O. 20. Rokotyansky S. 10. Savitskyi A. 47. Stetsyuk A. 72. Tylokha R. 32. Zaychenko I.	28. Blyznyuk V. 17. Khussin T. 9. Kurylets D. 14. Polyovyi V. 1. Sledzevskyi A. (G) 35. Tovkach A. 99. Varyanik V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Blyznyuk V. ⚽,
32', Sabiev D. 🟨,
33', Borovskyi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Rokotyansky S. ↓, Barinov Y. ↑,
77', Blyznyuk V. ↓, Irodovskyi D. ↑,
77', Kozlov A. ↓, Polyovyi V. ↑,
78', Bandurin A. ↓, Varyanik V. ↑,
80', Krapyvny D. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Delayed due to safety reasons.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kremin won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Kremin have a series of guest games.

In this match Metalurh Z is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kremin won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kremin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kremin Kremenchuk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - Kudrivka	0:3 ✺
14.10.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
09.10.24	Kharkiv - Kremin Kremenchuk	4:0 ✺
27.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Kremin Kremenchuk	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Kremin Kremenchuk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Poltava - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:2 ✺
14.10.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kudrivka	1:3 ✺
08.10.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.08.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kremin Kremenchuk	1:0
01.10.23	Kremin Kremenchuk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:2
28.07.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kremin Kremenchuk	0:0
16.11.22	Kremin Kremenchuk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:4
27.08.22	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kremin Kremenchuk	3:3
08.11.19	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kremin Kremenchuk	2:1
03.08.19	Kremin Kremenchuk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0

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