Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: DS Arena (Hobro)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hobro		Middelfart

	1	X	2
	1.35	5	6.5
	1.38	4.75	6.5
	1.37	5.15	7.1	Watch
	1.37	5.06	6.9
	1.39	4.97	6.62	Watch
	1.4	4.4	6
	1.42	5	5.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.48)	4.9 ↑ (4.28)	6.51 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hobro
66.9%

Draw
18.9%

Middelfart
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.7%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

17.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Middelfart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hobro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middelfart could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Hobro - Middelfart Predictions

Users Predictions: Hobro will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Dakir J. (G) 3. Enemark C. 15. Bjerge G. 12. Jacobsen M. 18. Sogaard E. (C) 27. Klitten L. 23. Bruhn M. 8. Pedersen M. 7. Klitten O. 9. Andreasen S. 11. Hauge R.	1. Radza C. (G) 28. Hegelund V. 7. Linnet J. 12. Thomsen L. (C) 2. Matiebel P. 14. Barholt N. 18. Wielzen J. 11. Villemoes J. 20. Koch R. 5. Zjajo B. 10. Akale A.
Substitutes
47. Bryld A. 41. Dahl H. 14. Hansen L. 26. Hansen T. 22. Huldahl M. 5. Kannegaard M. 16. Meedom O. 37. Rosengreen M. 1. Sondergaard A. (G)	21. Andersen E. 9. Boesen M. 17. Greve M. 16. Hutters J. (G) 77. Jensen L. 26. Juul-Sandberg N. 25. Pedersen S. 8. Praest M. 24. Trier S.
Coaches
Gjesing J.	Johannsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Sogaard E. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Hauge R. ⚽, Bruhn M. (A),
43', 3 - 0, Hauge R. ⚽, Andreasen S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hauge R. ↓, Hansen T. ↑,
62', Akale A. ↓, Boesen M. ↑,
62', Matiebel P. ↓, Trier S. ↑,
62', Zjajo B. ↓, Praest M. ↑,
71', Bruhn M. ↓, Dahl H. ↑,
71', Enemark C. ↓, Rosengreen M. ↑,
74', Koch R. ↓, Juul-Sandberg N. ↑,
81', Klitten O. ↓, Hansen L. ↑,
81', Andreasen S. ↓, Meedom O. ↑,
82', Hegelund V. ↓, Greve M. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Wielzen J. ⚽,
88', 3 - 2, Boesen M. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Hobro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Middelfart has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hobro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hobro is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Hobro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hobro: 2.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hobro	9	4	1	4	12:16	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hobro IK
Danish 1 Division
24.05.26	HB Køge - Hobro	0:1 ✺
14.05.26	Hobro - Aarhus Fremad	0:3 ✺
08.05.26	Hobro - B.93 Copenhagen	3:3 ✺
01.05.26	Aalborg BK - Hobro	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Aarhus Fremad - Hobro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTTW
- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 1 Division
23.05.26	Middelfart - B.93 Copenhagen	2:4 ✺
16.05.26	Middelfart - HB Køge	0:4 ✺
08.05.26	Aalborg BK - Middelfart	1:3 ✺
01.05.26	Middelfart - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	B.93 Copenhagen - Middelfart	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
18.04.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:6
21.03.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:1
27.07.25	Hobro - Middelfart	0:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
10.09.24	Middelfart - Hobro	3:2

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