Match Info

3. Liga - Round 15

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Dietmar-Hopp Stadion (Sinsheim)

Referee: Rose N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim II		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.48
	2.6	3.63	2.5
	2.37	3.88	2.51	Watch
	2.44	3.38	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.4)	3.56 ↓ (3.7)	2.48 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim II
37.1%

Draw
25.8%

Duisburg
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

24.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	30%	60%

Hoffenheim II - Duisburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Duisburg will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Duisburg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petersson L. (G) 24. Erlein L. 49. Luhrs Y. 6. Lassig V. (C) 2. Gendrey V. 17. Reisig R. 10. Duric L. 7. Amaimouni A. 11. Hennrich P. 38. Zeitler D. 13. Mokwa Ntusu D.	1. Braune M. (G) 29. Bitter J. 5. Fleckstein T. 42. Hahn A. (C) 27. Coskun C. 6. Bulic R. 17. Gockan M. 19. Muller L. 14. Noss C. 37. Sussek P. 9. Heike T.
Substitutes
39. Bahr F. 8. Dagdeviren D. 30. El-Jindaoui N. 23. Honajzer A. 16. Hor Y. 45. Labes B. O. 22. Llugiqi A. 34. Onohiol Y. (G) 4. Strobl L.	11. Dittgen M. 20. Jessen N. 26. Kruger F. 18. Meuer S. 24. Paris J. (G) 40. Schlicke B. 33. Tugbenyo J. 10. Viet C. 30. Visser A.
Coaches
Kleineheismann S.	Hirsch D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Hennrich P. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Zeitler D. (A),
42', 3 - 0, Amaimouni A. ⚽, Zeitler D. (A),
45', 4 - 0, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Lassig V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Heike T. ↓, Kruger F. ↑,
46', Sussek P. ↓, Dittgen M. ↑,
46', Gendrey V. ↓, Bahr F. ↑,
63', Bulic R. ↓, Tugbenyo J. ↑,
64', Amaimouni A. 🟨,
71', Hennrich P. ↓, Llugiqi A. ↑,
71', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Labes B. O. ↑,
71', Muller L. ↓, Viet C. ↑,
72', 4 - 1, Noss C. ⚽, Dittgen M. (A),
78', Llugiqi A. 🟨,
81', Bitter J. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,
84', Amaimouni A. ↓, El-Jindaoui N. ↑,
88', Reisig R. ↓, Dagdeviren D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.25	Schweinfurt - Hoffenheim II	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Hoffenheim II - Waldhof Mannheim	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Hoffenheim II - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Osnabrück - Hoffenheim II	0:4 ✺
05.10.25	Hoffenheim II - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTWL
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
07.11.25	Duisburg - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Osnabrück - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	1860 München - Duisburg	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Duisburg - Hansa Rostock	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTLT

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