Match Info

3. Liga - Round 12

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Dietmar-Hopp Stadion (Sinsheim)

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim II		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.9	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.5
	1.88	4	3.65
	1.88	3.87	3.50	Watch
	1.89	3.74	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	3.85 ↓ (3.87)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim II
49.4%

Draw
24.3%

Erzgebirge Aue
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

23.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hoffenheim II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hoffenheim II - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Aue (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim II will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim II (votes: 1 - 50%). Aue (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Philipp T. (G) 16. Hor Y. 49. Luhrs Y. 6. Lassig V. (C) 39. Bahr F. 7. Amaimouni A. 17. Reisig R. 10. Duric L. 12. Tohumcu U. 13. Mokwa Ntusu D. 38. Zeitler D.	1. Mannel M. (C) 17. Fallmann P. 16. Malone R. 25. Zobel T. 37. Seidel P. 13. Majetschak E. 11. Uhlmann E. 8. Clausen M. 19. Guttau J. 34. Stefaniak M. 24. Ehlers J.
Substitutes
8. Dagdeviren D. 30. El-Jindaoui N. 24. Erlein L. 11. Hennrich P. 27. Krasniqi L. 45. Labes B. O. 22. Llugiqi A. 34. Onohiol Y. (G) 4. Strobl L.	9. Bornschein R. 20. Fabisch J. 10. Gunther-Schmidt J. 27. Hetzsch F. 22. Lord L. (G) 39. Schmid M. 5. Simnica L. 14. Tashchy B. 7. Weinhauer E.
Coaches
Kleineheismann S.	Hartel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Tohumcu U. ⚽, Amaimouni A. (A),
6', Malone R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tohumcu U. ↓, Llugiqi A. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Zobel T. ⚽,
61', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Hennrich P. ↑,
61', Zeitler D. ↓, Labes B. O. ↑,
61', Bahr F. ↓, Erlein L. ↑,
68', Reisig R. 🟨,
73', Seidel P. 🟨,
80', Clausen M. ↓, Weinhauer E. ↑,
80', Ehlers J. ↓, Schmid M. ↑,
84', Guttau J. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
89', Duric L. ↓, Dagdeviren D. ↑,
90+1', Seidel P. ↓, Simnica L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Hoffenheim II might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoffenheim II
German 3 Bundesliga
18.10.25	Osnabrück - Hoffenheim II	0:4 ✺
05.10.25	Hoffenheim II - VfB Stuttgart II	1:3 ✺
01.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hoffenheim II	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Hoffenheim II - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	1860 München - Hoffenheim II	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLLTW
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
17.10.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Waldhof Mannheim	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2 ✺
30.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Osnabrück - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTWWL

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