Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Tzeirei Tira		Hapoel Bnei Lod

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.55	4.9
	1.65	3.64	4.85	Watch
	1.64	3.58	4.82
	1.63	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.13)	3.58 ↑ (3.37)	4.87 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirei Tira
55.7%

Draw
25.5%

Hapoel Bnei Lod
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

27.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.8%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirei Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tzeirei Tira's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Lod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Bnei Lod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tzeirei Tira than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tzeirei Tira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Bnei Lod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Bnei Lod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Masarwa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Muassi K. ⚽,
77', Romano Y. 🟥,
77', Edri S. 🟥,
90+10', 3 - 0, Abu Ras M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation)).

Recent matches Tzeirei Tira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Bnei Lod has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Tzeirei Tira have a series of home games.

Tzeirei Tira will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tzeirei Tira won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tzeirei Tira FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.03.25	Tzeirei Tira - Nordia Jerusalem	1:4 ✺
28.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Holon Yermiyahu	0:0 ✺
20.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Dimona - Tzeirei Tira	0:1 ✺
07.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LTTWL
- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.03.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek	1:3 ✺
27.02.25	Dimona - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
09.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Tzeirei Tira	2:3

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