Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 17

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday


	Holon Yermiyahu		Maccabi Kiryat Gat

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.65	1.65
	4.26	3.73	1.69	Watch
	4.68	3.64	1.63
	4.75	4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↓ (5.4)	3.76 ↓ (3.95)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holon Yermiyahu
20.1%

Draw
24.1%

Maccabi Kiryat Gat
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

23%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

22.4%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holon Yermiyahu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Maccabi Kiryat Gat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holon Yermiyahu than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Kiryat Gat than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Kiryat Gat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Gat Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Holon Yermiyahu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kiryat Gat will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Tawaba Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, ⚽,
60', 🟥,
61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Holon Yermiyahu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kiryat Gat is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Holon Yermiyahu has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kiryat Gat is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Holon Yermiyahu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 4:1).

Including home match between the teams, Holon Yermiyahu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Holon Yermiyahu	5	2	1	2	3:5	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holon Yermiyahu
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.01.26	Hapoel Azor - Holon Yermiyahu	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Dimona - Holon Yermiyahu	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Holon Yermiyahu - Jerusalem FC	3:3 ✺
31.12.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Holon Yermiyahu	1:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Holon Yermiyahu	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWL
- Maccabi Kiryat Gat FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Dimona	3:1 ✺
09.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Herzliya	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Ra`anana - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
12.09.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Holon Yermiyahu	3:3
28.02.20	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Holon Yermiyahu	0:4
25.10.19	Holon Yermiyahu - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	5:0

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