Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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International	OneFootball TV


	Holstein Kiel		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.80	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.80	2.25
	2.95	3.70	2.18
	2.80	4.02	2.38
	2.82	3.98	2.22	Watch
	2.75	3.95	2.30
	2.75	3.82	2.25	Watch
	2.75	3.85	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.48)	3.87 ↑ (3.75)	2.26 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
33.8%

Draw
24.4%

Hertha Berlin
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

24.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hertha (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Hertha Berlin (2.20) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation - 3. Liga and 1st in the Promotion - Bundesliga).

In recent outings, Holstein Kiel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hertha is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Holstein Kiel: Abe T. (Back Injury) Davidsen K. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Muqaj H. (Knee Injury) Rosenboom L. (Knee Injury) Roslyng F. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Hertha: Dardai M. (Groin Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Holstein Kiel against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	7	7	0	0	19:8	11	21
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hertha Berlin: 24.95% Holstein Kiel: 0.82%

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Hertha Berlin - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
09.10.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Holstein Kiel - Viborg	3:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Osnabrück	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWTLT
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
11.10.26	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Augsburg - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Osnabrück - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	0:1
29.11.25	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	0:1
01.03.24	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	2:2
24.09.23	Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin	2:3
Club Friendly
21.03.19	Hertha Berlin - Holstein Kiel	1:3

Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide