Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hasmann J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:30	Disney+
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports
Australia	21:30	beIN Connect
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 7
Chile	08:30	Disney+
Colombia	06:30	Disney+
Croatia	13:30	SportKlub 8
Denmark	13:30	Viaplay
Finland	14:30	Viaplay
France	13:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Georgia	15:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	19:30	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	11:30	Viaplay
Malaysia	19:30	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	05:30	Disney+
Netherlands	13:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:30	beIN Connect
Norway	13:30	Viaplay
Peru	06:30	Disney+
Philippines	19:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	12:30	DAZN / App
Romania	14:30	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi Arabia	14:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	19:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	13:30	Sport TV1
Spain	13:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+
International	11:30	OneFootball TV


	Heidenheim		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.20	3.75	3.00
	2.10	3.80	3.10	Watch
	2.17	4	3.24
	2.18	3.79	3.02	Watch
	2.15	3.85	3.2
	2.1	3.61	3.36	Watch
	2.14	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.05)	3.74 ↓ (3.83)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
44.3%

Draw
25.4%

Holstein Kiel
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

24.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Heidenheim (2.15) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Dahne T. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 27. Heule M. 22. Mhamdi O. 16. Niehues J. 3. Schoppner J. 24. Costly M. 18. Vogt A. 17. Honsak M.	1. Weiner T. (G) 32. Sekine H. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 40. Parduzi L. 28. Meffert J. (C) 20. Kapralik A. 8. Balzi G. 27. Ugoh I. 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
10. Conteh C. 1. Feller F. (G) 8. Hennrich P. 29. Kaufmann M. 20. Kerber L. 23. Paqarada L. 4. Siersleben T. 38. Wagner Y. 41. Zrilic M.	11. de Regt G. 5. Madsen N. 44. Richter Monserrat M. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 7. Skrzybski S. 3. Takahashi N. 30. Tasdelen T. 47. Tolkin J. 43. Wiese T.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Honsak M. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
46', Mhamdi O. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
50', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
57', Balzi G. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
75', Kapralik A. ↓, de Regt G. ↑,
75', Parduzi L. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
76', Niehues J. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
81', Vogt A. ↓, Siersleben T. ↑,
81', Costly M. ↓, Hennrich P. ↑,
83', Ugoh I. ↓, Wiese T. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Fohrenbach J. ⚽, Kaufmann M. (A),
87', Kaufmann M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Heidenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Heidenheim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Abe T. (Back Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Kvilitaia G. (Muscle Injury) Muqaj H. (Inactive) Reimers M. (Ankle Injury) Rosenboom L. (Knee Injury) Roslyng F. (Knee Injury) Schonlau S. (Muscle Injury) Skrzybski S. (Leg Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Heidenheim	9	4	3	2	16:16	0	15
13	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	10:11	-1	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Heidenheim: 4.29% Holstein Kiel: 0.68%

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
06.09.26	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Heidenheim - Dynamo Dresden	5:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Jeddeloh - Heidenheim	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	1860 München - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
16.03.25	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:1
02.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
23.04.23	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:0
16.10.22	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	3:1
23.04.22	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:1
21.11.21	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	2:1
06.04.21	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0

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