Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Hasmann J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P, Arena Sport 7
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+
World	OneFootball TV


	Heidenheim		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.20	3.75	3.00
	2.10	3.80	3.10	Watch
	2.17	4	3.24
	2.18	3.79	3.02	Watch
	2.15	3.85	3.2
	2.1	3.61	3.36	Watch
	2.14	3.65	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.05)	3.74 ↓ (3.83)	3.13 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
44.3%

Draw
25.4%

Holstein Kiel
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

24.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Heidenheim (2.15) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Dahne T. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 27. Heule M. 22. Mhamdi O. 16. Niehues J. 3. Schoppner J. 24. Costly M. 18. Vogt A. 17. Honsak M.	1. Weiner T. (G) 32. Sekine H. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 40. Parduzi L. 28. Meffert J. (C) 20. Kapralik A. 8. Balzi G. 27. Ugoh I. 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
10. Conteh C. 1. Feller F. (G) 8. Hennrich P. 29. Kaufmann M. 20. Kerber L. 23. Paqarada L. 4. Siersleben T. 38. Wagner Y. 41. Zrilic M.	11. de Regt G. 5. Madsen N. 44. Richter Monserrat M. 41. Rothenhagen L. (G) 7. Skrzybski S. 3. Takahashi N. 30. Tasdelen T. 47. Tolkin J. 43. Wiese T.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Walter T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Honsak M. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
46', Mhamdi O. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
50', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
57', Balzi G. ↓, Madsen N. ↑,
75', Kapralik A. ↓, de Regt G. ↑,
75', Parduzi L. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
76', Niehues J. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
81', Vogt A. ↓, Siersleben T. ↑,
81', Costly M. ↓, Hennrich P. ↑,
83', Ugoh I. ↓, Wiese T. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Fohrenbach J. ⚽, Kaufmann M. (A),
87', Kaufmann M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Heidenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Heidenheim is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Abe T. (Back Injury) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury) Kvilitaia G. (Muscle Injury) Muqaj H. (Inactive) Reimers M. (Ankle Injury) Rosenboom L. (Knee Injury) Roslyng F. (Knee Injury) Schonlau S. (Muscle Injury) Skrzybski S. (Leg Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.5:1.1).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Heidenheim: 8.96% Holstein Kiel: 1.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Heidenheim	6	4	1	1	14:12	2	13
16	Holstein Kiel	6	0	4	2	7:10	-3	4

Last Results with these Odds

Holstein Kiel - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
06.09.26	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Heidenheim - Dynamo Dresden	5:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Jeddeloh - Heidenheim	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.08.26	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	2:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLLL
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
05.09.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	1860 München - Holstein Kiel	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
14.08.26	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	2:2 ✺
08.08.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
16.03.25	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:1
02.11.24	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
23.04.23	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:0
16.10.22	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	3:1
23.04.22	Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim	1:1
21.11.21	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	2:1
06.04.21	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0

Upcoming Matches