Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dynamo Dresden		Hertha Berlin

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.70	3.70	2.40
	2.52	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.91	2.52
	2.59	3.91	2.43	Watch
	2.6	3.85	2.5
	2.64	3.79	2.44	Watch
	2.55	3.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.07)	3.78 ↓ (3.81)	2.45 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dynamo Dresden
36.4%

Draw
25%

Hertha Berlin
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

24.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dynamo Dresden's form might have worsened.

Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hertha Berlin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hertha Berlin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hertha will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hertha: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Hertha (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Hertha Berlin (2.50) (votes: 82%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schreiber T. (G) 44. Straudi S. 34. Neininger T. 17. Muhamedbegovic A. 19. Rossipal A. 18. Wagner R. 6. Rapp N. 24. Covic P. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 20. Bobzien B. 9. Vermeij V.	35. Gersbeck M. (C) 2. Eitschberger J. 44. Gechter L. 27. Kolbe N. 22. Pedersen M. 19. Adewumi O. 8. Sessa K. 30. Seguin P. 7. Brekalo J. 23. Thorsteinsson J. 17. Gronning S.
Substitutes
40. Bethke E. (G) 33. Daferner C. 16. Froling N. 11. Inanoglu K. 10. Lemmer J. 42. Muller F. 7. Okpala K. 21. Raschl T. 32. Sterner J.	20. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 31. Dardai M. 43. Goller T. (G) 33. Gouram S. 41. Klemens P. 9. Nilsson G. 18. Schuler L. 47. Telib S. 42. Zeefuik D.
Coaches
Stamm T.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Covic P. ⚽, Vermeij V. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Thorsteinsson J. ⚽, Brekalo J. (A),
31', Wagner R. 🟨,
35', Muhamedbegovic A. 🟨,
37', Pedersen M. 🟨,
42', Brekalo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gronning S. ↓, Nilsson G. ↑,
65', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
65', Hauptmann N. ↓, Raschl T. ↑,
73', Eitschberger J. ↓, Zeefuik D. ↑,
73', Adewumi O. ↓, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↑,
73', Covic P. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
73', Rapp N. ↓, Muller F. ↑,
73', Straudi S. ↓, Sterner J. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Thorsteinsson J. ⚽, Pedersen M. (A),
86', Thorsteinsson J. ↓, Gouram S. ↑,
89', Sessa K. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 1st in the Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Dynamo Dresden has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hertha is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Dresden has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:8 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dynamo Dresden against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hertha Berlin	6	6	0	0	17:7	10	18
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	7	1	2	4	9:15	-6	5

Last Results with these Odds

Dynamo Dresden - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.93%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Hertha Berlin - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.65%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Heidenheim - Dynamo Dresden	5:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Westfalia Rhynern - Dynamo Dresden	0:6 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWW
- Hertha Berlin
German 2 Bundesliga
13.09.26	Osnabrück - Hertha Berlin	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Hertha Berlin - Magdeburg	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hertha Berlin	3:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Saarbrücken - Hertha Berlin	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
15.08.26	Hertha Berlin - Heidenheim	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
04.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	0:1
01.11.25	Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden	2:0
German DFB Pokal
30.10.19	Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden	4:3 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
02.03.13	Dynamo Dresden - Hertha Berlin	1:0
26.09.12	Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden	1:0

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