Match Info

Regionalliga North - Round 30

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Nordfv


	Holstein Kiel II		Todesfelde

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.1	3.9
	1.66	4.19	4.04	Watch
	1.61	3.92	4.51
	1.73	4.1	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.03)	4.08 ↑ (3.66)	4.09 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel II
54.8%

Draw
22.6%

Todesfelde
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

25.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22.9%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel II's performance.

Todesfelde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Todesfelde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel II than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Holstein Kiel II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Todesfelde than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Todesfelde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Koster L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
57', 1 - 1, Sinanovic M. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Carvalho M. ⚽,
70', 1 - 3, Awuku N. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Holstein Kiel II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Holstein Kiel II is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Holstein Kiel II won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Holstein Kiel II won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel II
German Regionalliga North
04.04.25	Werder Bremen II - Holstein Kiel II	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Oldenburg	2:4 ✺
22.03.25	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Holstein Kiel II	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Jeddeloh	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Holstein Kiel II - Kickers Emden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWTL
- SV Todesfelde
German Regionalliga North
06.04.25	Todesfelde - Hamburger II	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	St. Pauli II - Todesfelde	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Meppen - Todesfelde	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Todesfelde - Werder Bremen II	1:3 ✺
08.03.25	Oldenburg - Todesfelde	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
06.10.24	Todesfelde - Holstein Kiel II	0:3
German Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
22.10.17	Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde	1:1
04.12.16	Todesfelde - Holstein Kiel II	1:2
03.08.16	Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde	0:0
05.12.15	Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde	2:2
16.08.15	Todesfelde - Holstein Kiel II	4:2
10.05.15	Holstein Kiel II - Todesfelde	2:0

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