Match Info

Cymru North - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Holyhead Hotspur		Buckley Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.3
	1.79	4.32	3.17
	1.88	4.23	3.31	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.1
	1.81	4.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.89)	4.06 ↑ (3.92)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holyhead Hotspur
49.6%

Draw
22.3%

Buckley Town
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

23.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

22.7%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holyhead Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Buckley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Holyhead Hotspur - Buckley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Owen C. (Penalty Awarded),
7', 2 - 0, Williams C. ⚽,
24', 3 - 0, Buckley C. ⚽,
33', 4 - 0, Owen C. ⚽,
42', 4 - 1, Bellis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 5 - 1, Owen C. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holyhead won 1.

Holyhead has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buckley Town is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Holyhead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Holyhead might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Holyhead won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 2:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Holyhead won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Buckley	10	3	3	4	22:17	5	12
14	Holyhead	9	2	1	6	11:18	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
03.04.26	Flint Mountain - Holyhead Hotspur	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Denbigh Town - Holyhead Hotspur	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Newtown	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Mold Alexandra	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWLL
- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
13.04.26	Caersws - Buckley Town	3:2 ✺
03.04.26	Buckley Town - Brickfield Rangers	0:6 ✺
20.03.26	Newtown - Buckley Town	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Buckley Town - Denbigh Town	1:4 ✺
07.03.26	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
12.09.25	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	5:5
Welsh League Cup
18.07.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Buckley Town	0:4
Welsh Cymru North
10.04.23	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2
20.08.22	Holyhead Hotspur - Buckley Town	2:0
09.04.22	Buckley Town - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2
06.11.21	Holyhead Hotspur - Buckley Town	1:2

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