Match Info

Cymru North - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Penrhyncoch		Holyhead Hotspur

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.6	3.7
	1.8	3.76	3.76
	1.82	3.85	3.84	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.7
	1.75	3.72	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	3.67 ↓ (3.91)	3.77 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penrhyncoch
51.1%

Draw
24.8%

Holyhead Hotspur
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

23.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Holyhead Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holyhead Hotspur than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, Kellaway G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Penrhyncoch is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrhyncoch won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Penrhyncoch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Holyhead	9	2	1	6	11:18	-7	7
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
07.03.26	Buckley Town - Penrhyncoch	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Llandudno	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Mold Alexandra	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Penrhyncoch - Caersws	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLL
- Holyhead Hotspur
Welsh Cymru North
07.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Guilsfield	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Brickfield Rangers	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Llandudno	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Caersws - Holyhead Hotspur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1
04.03.23	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1
28.01.23	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	2:1
12.03.22	Penrhyncoch - Holyhead Hotspur	0:1
02.10.21	Holyhead Hotspur - Penrhyncoch	1:1

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