Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	17:00	Onefootball


	Homburg		Eintracht Trier

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	4.55
	1.64	4.05	4.5
	1.63	3.95	4.51
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.57	3.82	4.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	3.84 ↓ (4.07)	4.62 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
56.5%

Draw
23.7%

Eintracht Trier
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

22.5%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Eintracht Trier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eintracht Trier than the current prediction. (-2%)

Homburg - Eintracht Trier Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Sausen T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Goncalves M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Held J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 1.

Homburg is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eintracht Trier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Homburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Homburg is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Homburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Homburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Eintracht Trier	13	7	1	5	16:17	-1	22
8	FC 08 Homburg	13	5	5	3	18:17	1	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.04.26	FSV Frankfurt - Homburg	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Homburg - Freiberg	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Schott Mainz - Homburg	0:7 ✺
28.03.26	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Homburg	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Homburg - Mainz II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWL
- Eintracht Trier
German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.04.26	Eintracht Trier - Astoria Walldorf	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Freiburg II - Eintracht Trier	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Eintracht Trier - Mainz II	0:5 ✺
28.03.26	Balingen - Eintracht Trier	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Sandhausen - Eintracht Trier	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
17.10.25	Eintracht Trier - Homburg	2:0
23.11.24	Homburg - Eintracht Trier	0:1
26.07.24	Eintracht Trier - Homburg	4:1
12.05.23	Eintracht Trier - Homburg	1:4
05.11.22	Homburg - Eintracht Trier	1:1
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
13.10.17	Homburg - Eintracht Trier	3:1
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.02.17	Homburg - Eintracht Trier	1:2

Homburg - Eintracht Trier