Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 18

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Homburg		Rot-Weiß Koblenz

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.8	7.25
	1.34	4.7	7.5
	1.32	5	7.6
	1.34	5.17	8.14
	1.32	4.4	8
	1.33	5.1	8.2
	1.31	4.9	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.42)	4.87 ↑ (3.9)	7.76 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
69.3%

Draw
18.9%

Rot-Weiß Koblenz
11.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

23%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

22%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homburg's performance.

Rot-Weiß Koblenz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Koblenz than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Homburg - Rot Weiß Koblenz Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Homburg will win (votes: 3 - 50%). RW Koblenz will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Homburg won 3.

Recent matches Homburg is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

RW Koblenz has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

RW Koblenz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Homburg is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Homburg won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Homburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.11.22	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	2:5 ✺
05.11.22	Homburg - Eintracht Trier	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Bahlinger - Homburg	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Homburg - Mainz II	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Homburg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLL
- Rot-Weiß Koblenz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.11.22	Balingen - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - VfR Aalen	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Freiberg - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - FSV Frankfurt	0:3 ✺
25.10.22	Astoria Walldorf - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.08.22	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Homburg	1:3
11.12.21	Homburg - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	1:1
24.08.21	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Homburg	4:0
27.03.21	Homburg - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	2:1
11.10.20	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Homburg	0:4
05.10.19	Homburg - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	2:1
German Oberliga Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar
02.12.17	Homburg - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	3:1

Homburg - Rot-Weiß Koblenz