Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 16

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Wormatia Worms		Homburg

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	1.9
	3.3	3.35	2.02
	3.35	3.65	1.93
	3.72	3.52	1.95
	3.25	3.2	2.05
	3.54	3.58	1.97
	3.35	3.6	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.63)	3.49 ↑ (3.32)	1.96 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wormatia Worms
27%

Draw
26.3%

Homburg
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

27.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.4%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wormatia Worms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wormatia Worms's form might have worsened.

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Homburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wormatia Worms than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wormatia Worms, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Homburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Wormatia Worms - Homburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Wormatia Worms will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Homburg will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wormatia Worms won 1.

Recent matches Wormatia Worms is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Homburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Homburg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wormatia Worms won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Wormatia Worms won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wormatia Worms
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.11.22	Balingen - Wormatia Worms	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Wormatia Worms - VfR Aalen	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Freiberg - Wormatia Worms	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Wormatia Worms - FSV Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Wormatia Worms	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTWW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
05.11.22	Homburg - Eintracht Trier	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Bahlinger - Homburg	0:1 ✺
21.10.22	Homburg - Mainz II	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	TSV Steinbach Haiger - Homburg	3:1 ✺
09.10.22	Homburg - Ulm 1846	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.11.18	Homburg - Wormatia Worms	4:0
28.07.18	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	2:1
21.04.17	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	1:1
16.10.16	Homburg - Wormatia Worms	2:1
29.03.16	Homburg - Wormatia Worms	1:0
12.09.15	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	0:5
27.03.15	Homburg - Wormatia Worms	2:0

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