Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Kai Tak Sports Park (Hongkong)


	Hong Kong		Bangladesh

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.35	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.37	4.6	7.62
	1.45	4.19	6.92	Watch
	1.44	4.57	6.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.4)	4.53 ↑ (4.33)	6.98 ↓ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong
66.3%

Draw
20.5%

Bangladesh
13.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.3%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bangladesh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Hong Kong - Bangladesh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hong Kong (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hong Kong will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Tse Ka-Wing (G) Tai Po 11. Camargo E. Lee Man Warriors 17. Chan Shinichi Shanghai Shenhua 12. Fernando Tai Po 3. Gerbig O. Henan Songshan Longmen 4. Jones L. Eastern District 7. Juninho Kitchee 14. Lau K. Lee Man Warriors 8. Ngan Cheuk-Pan Tai Po 9. Orr M. (C) Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 21. Yue Tze-Nam Meizhou Hakka	13. Marma M. (G) Abahani Limited Dhaka 19. Ahmed Z. Bashundara Kings 4. Barman T. (C) Bashundara Kings 8. Choudhury H. Leicester 10. Hossain R. Bashundara Kings 14. Kazi T. Bashundara Kings 7. Morsalin S. Abahani Limited Dhaka 17. Rana S. Bashundara Kings 23. Shome S. Cavalry 2. Topu S. A. Mohammedan 22. Uddin S. Bashundara Kings
Substitutes
20. Bleda M. Eastern AA 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. Tai Po 5. Dudu Lee Man Warriors 15. Mahama A. Southern District 22. Merkies R. Shandong Taishan 1. Ng W. H. (G) Southern District 2. Nunez V. Yanbian Longding 19. Shliakotin A. (G) 13. Stefan Southern District 23. Sun Ming-Him Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 6. Tan Chun-Lok Kitchee 10. Wong W. Lee Man Warriors	6. Bhuyan J. Brothers U. 9. Emon S. Bashundara Kings 11. Fahim M. Bashundara Kings 20. Foysal Akash A. PWD Sports Club 1. Hasan Srabon M. (G) Bashundara Kings 12. Hossain S. (G) Mohammedan 18. Islam F. Olbia 3. Mia R. Mohammedan 21. Omar A. Fortis 16. Rana M. S. Bashundara Kings 5. Ridoy M. Bashundara Kings 15. Uddin M. T. Bashundara Kings

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Gerbig O. 🟨,
34', Kazi T. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Orr M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Ahmed Z. ↓, Bhuyan J. ↑,
65', Rana S. ↓, Islam F. ↑,
65', Fernando ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
69', Ngan Cheuk-Pan 🟨,
75', Lau K. ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
75', Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↓, Tan Chun-Lok ↑,
76', Gerbig O. 🟨,
80', Islam F. 🟨,
80', Morsalin S. ↓, Fahim M. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Hossain R. ⚽, Islam F. (A),
86', Camargo E. ↓, Mahama A. ↑,
86', Juninho ↓, Wong W. ↑,
90+3', Topu S. A. ↓, Foysal Akash A. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Hong Kong is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hong Kong won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Bangladesh - Hong Kong	3:4 ✺
Kings Cup Thailand
07.09.25	Hong Kong - Fiji	8:0 ✺
04.09.25	Iraq - Hong Kong	2:1 ✺
EAFF E-1
15.07.25	China - Hong Kong	1:0 ✺
11.07.25	Hong Kong - South Korea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLL
- Bangladesh
Asian Cup
09.10.25	Bangladesh - Hong Kong	3:4 ✺
Friendly
09.09.25	Nepal - Bangladesh	Canceled ✺
06.09.25	Nepal - Bangladesh	0:0 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Bangladesh - Singapore	1:2 ✺
Friendly
04.06.25	Bangladesh - Bhutan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 L?TLW

Latest Head to Head

Asian Cup
09.10.25	Bangladesh - Hong Kong	3:4

Hong Kong - Bangladesh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide