Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Bashundhara Kings Arena (Dhaka)


	Bangladesh		Hong Kong

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.1	Watch
				Watch
	3.55	2.92	2.22	Watch
	4.13	3.05	2
	3.82	2.90	2.16	Watch
	3.74	3.15	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.56)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	2.12 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bangladesh
24.9%

Draw
31%

Hong Kong
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

29.2%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bangladesh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Hong Kong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	17.2%	69%

Bangladesh - Hong Kong Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Bangladesh will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Hong Kong will win (votes: 20 - 69%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hong Kong: 52.2% – 85.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hong Kong (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marma M. (G) Abahani Limited Dhaka 8. Choudhury H. Leicester 11. Fahim M. Bashundara Kings 10. Hossain R. Bashundara Kings 14. Kazi T. Bashundara Kings 7. Morsalin S. Abahani Limited Dhaka 16. Rana M. S. Bashundara Kings 17. Rana S. (C) Bashundara Kings 2. Topu S. A. Mohammedan 15. Uddin M. T. Bashundara Kings 22. Uddin S. Bashundara Kings	1. Yapp H. (C) Eastern AA 12. Benavides N. Tai Po 11. Camargo E. Lee Man Warriors 17. Chan Shinichi Shanghai Shenhua 3. Gerbig O. Henan Songshan Longmen 4. Jones L. Eastern District 7. Juninho Kitchee 9. Orr M. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 6. Tan Chun-Lok Kitchee 21. Yue Tze-Nam Meizhou Hakka 14. Yu Joy-yin Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Substitutes
19. Ahmed Z. Bashundara Kings 4. Barman T. Bashundara Kings 6. Bhuyan J. Brothers U. 9. Emon S. Bashundara Kings 20. Foysal Akash A. PWD Sports Club 1. Hasan Srabon M. (G) Bashundara Kings 12. Hossain S. (G) Mohammedan 18. Islam F. Olbia 3. Mia R. Mohammedan 21. Omar A. Fortis 5. Ridoy M. Bashundara Kings 23. Shome S. Cavalry	20. Bleda M. Eastern AA 16. Chan Siu-Kwan P. Tai Po 5. Dudu Lee Man Warriors 23. Lau K. Lee Man Warriors 15. Mahama A. Southern District 22. Merkies R. Shandong Taishan 8. Ngan Cheuk-Pan Tai Po 2. Nunez V. Yanbian Longding 19. Shliakotin A. (G) 13. Stefan Southern District 18. Tse Ka-Wing (G) Tai Po 10. Wong W. Lee Man Warriors

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', Hossain R. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Choudhury H. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 1, Camargo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Benavides N. ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Merkies R. ⚽,
57', Rana S. ↓, Shome S. ↑,
57', Rana M. S. ↓, Bhuyan J. ↑,
58', Fahim M. ↓, Islam F. ↑,
68', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↑,
74', 1 - 3, Merkies R. ⚽, Camargo E. (A),
78', Uddin M. T. ↓, Ahmed Z. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Morsalin S. ⚽,
85', Kazi T. ↓, Barman T. ↑,
88', Yapp H. ↓, Tse Ka-Wing ↑,
90+2', Tan Chun-Lok ↓, Dudu ↑,
90+9', 3 - 3, Shome S. ⚽,
90+11', 3 - 4, Merkies R. ⚽,

Preview

Hong Kong will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bangladesh
Friendly
09.09.25	Nepal - Bangladesh	Canceled ✺
06.09.25	Nepal - Bangladesh	0:0 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Bangladesh - Singapore	1:2 ✺
Friendly
04.06.25	Bangladesh - Bhutan	2:0 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	India - Bangladesh	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 ?TLWT
- Hong Kong
Kings Cup Thailand
07.09.25	Hong Kong - Fiji	8:0 ✺
04.09.25	Iraq - Hong Kong	2:1 ✺
EAFF E-1
15.07.25	China - Hong Kong	1:0 ✺
11.07.25	Hong Kong - South Korea	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Japan - Hong Kong	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Bangladesh - Hong Kong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide