Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Hong Kong Football Club Stadium (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Hong Kong FC		Kowloon City

	1	X	2
	5.35	4.25	1.45
	5.88	4.34	1.49
	5.68	4.31	1.46	Watch
	5.75	3.9	1.44
	6.11	4.15	1.44	Watch
	5.66	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↓ (9.06)	4.19 ↓ (5.25)	1.46 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong FC
15.9%

Draw
21.7%

Kowloon City
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10%

17.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hong Kong FC's performance.

Kowloon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kowloon City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Hong Kong FC - Kowloon City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Shlyakotin O. (G) 6. Cheng Chun-Wang R. (C) 15. Dietrich E. 22. Ho Chun J. 18. Inoue T. 7. Khan N. 11. Kranick A. 12. Law C. 2. Lee C. 16. Montesinos L. 35. Moreira H.	88. Yuen Ho-Chun (G) 7. Bah M. H. 8. Chiu W. 5. Eli D. (C) 4. Kang Jun-Hyeon 27. Kayron 6. Kessi 77. Lee C. 14. Loong T. 11. Luizinho 2. Yu Pui-Hong
Substitutes
44. Bennie J. 99. Chan H. 77. Chan M. 20. Chan P. 14. Ho T. 40. Kedwards N. 28. Lai H. 39. Lau B. (G) 26. Ma C. 23. Salzmann L. 25. Wong Tsz-Chung (G)	43. Castro E. (G) 1. Cheung K. (G) 92. Fung T. 23. Ho L. 25. Hui Ka-Lok 80. Kwan H. 79. Kwok Y. 35. Lam C. Y. 31. Wong H. 91. Wong L. 20. Yim Kai-Cheuk

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Moreira H. 🟨,
45+2', Kessi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moreira H. ↓, Lai H. ↑,
59', Bah M. H. 🟨,
75', Lee C. ↓, Bennie J. ↑,
82', Khan N. 🟨,
85', 0 - 1, Luizinho ⚽,
88', Cheng Chun-Wang R. ↓, Kedwards N. ↑,
88', Khan N. ↓, Chan P. ↑,
89', Lee C. ↓, Ho L. ↑,
90+9', Luizinho ↓, Yim Kai-Cheuk ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Recent form of HKFC has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kowloon City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kowloon City is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, HKFC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, HKFC won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong FC
Hong Kong Premier League
07.12.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	2:2 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
15.11.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	0:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
09.11.25	Hong Kong FC - Eastern AA	0:4 ✺
01.11.25	Lee Man - Hong Kong FC	7:1 ✺
26.10.25	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 TLLLW
- Kowloon City FC
Hong Kong Premier League
07.12.25	Kowloon City - Eastern AA	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Southern District - Kowloon City	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Kowloon City - Kitchee	0:5 ✺
29.10.25	Eastern District - Kowloon City	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
26.10.25	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	1:2
25.05.25	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	5:3
19.01.25	Hong Kong FC - Kowloon City	0:0
29.09.24	Hong Kong FC - Kowloon City	0:2

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