Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Sham Shui Po Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc, RTHK TV 32


	Kowloon City		Kitchee

	1	X	2
	4.65	4.25	1.52
	4.99	5.39	1.41	Watch
	4.66	4.92	1.54
	4.1	4.86	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↓ (4.99)	4.86 ↓ (5.39)	1.5 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kowloon City
20%

Draw
18.9%

Kitchee
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

16.9%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

16.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kowloon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kowloon City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kowloon City - Kitchee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Yuen Ho-Chun (G) 7. Bah M. H. 5. Eli D. (C) 23. Ho L. 4. Kang Jun-Hyeon 27. Kayron 6. Kessi 35. Lam C. Y. 77. Lee C. 14. Loong T. 11. Luizinho	1. Wang Z. (G) 22. Beattie C. 30. Juninho 34. Kam Chi-Kin. J. 11. Kanda Y. 10. Kendy 2. Law Tsz-Chun 20. Martinez Ortiz L. 9. Revilla A. 3. Riera R. 16. Tan Chun-Lok (C)
Substitutes
3. Carioca 1. Cheung K. (G) 8. Chiu W. 92. Fung T. 95. Fung T. W. 25. Hui Ka-Lok 79. Kwok Y. 13. Kwong T. (G) 21. Tsang Kam-To 19. Verkade T. 91. Wong L. 2. Yu Pui-Hong	37. Chan Shing-Chun 8. Cheng Chin-Lung 42. Cheung Y. 6. Haddow J. 5. Illarramendi A. 29. Kim Shin-Wook 41. Lam P. 40. Li Siu-Hin 23. Shek T. (G) 31. Slattery M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Revilla A. ⚽,
31', Lam C. Y. 🟨,
41', Riera R. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Juninho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 0 - 3, Kanda Y. ⚽,
52', 0 - 4, Juninho ⚽,
56', 0 - 5, Juninho ⚽,
58', Tan Chun-Lok 🟨,
62', Eli D. 🟨,
64', Juninho ↓, Haddow J. ↑,
64', Kendy ↓, Cheng Chin-Lung ↑,
64', Revilla A. ↓, Kim Shin-Wook ↑,
64', Kanda Y. ↓, Li Siu-Hin ↑,
67', Lam C. Y. ↓, Tsang Kam-To ↑,
67', Lee C. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
67', Ho L. ↓, Fung T. W. ↑,
68', Kang Jun-Hyeon 🟨,
74', Tan Chun-Lok ↓, Illarramendi A. ↑,
74', Loong T. ↓, Yu Pui-Hong ↑,
78', Kayron ↓, Hui Ka-Lok ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kowloon City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kitchee is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kowloon City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 1.3:4.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kowloon City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kowloon City FC
Hong Kong Premier League
29.10.25	Eastern District - Kowloon City	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Kowloon City - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kowloon City - North District	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Kowloon City	2:3 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
28.09.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Kowloon City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTWL
- Kitchee FC
Hong Kong Premier League
26.10.25	Kitchee - North District	3:3 ✺
18.10.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Kitchee	1:1 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
11.10.25	Kitchee - Hong Kong Rangers	3:0 ✺
Hong Kong Senior Shield
28.09.25	Kitchee - North District	2:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
20.09.25	Lee Man - Kitchee	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
26.02.25	Kitchee - Kowloon City	2:3
24.11.24	Kowloon City - Kitchee	0:5
25.09.24	Kitchee - Kowloon City	6:1

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