Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Tuen Mun tang Shiu Kin Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Hong Kong Rangers		Hong Kong FC

	1	X	2
	1.19	5.7	11
	1.36	4.9	7.63
	1.43	4.46	5.84	Watch
	1.36	4.4	6
	1.44	4.85	5.92	Watch
	1.33	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.32)	4.84 ↓ (5.03)	7.32 ↑ (7.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong Rangers
68.3%

Draw
19.1%

Hong Kong FC
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.2%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

17.3%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hong Kong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hong Kong FC than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Hong Kong Rangers - Hong Kong FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Yip Ka-Yu (G) 45. Ansah M. 99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 29. Cortes M. 44. Fung Kwun-Ming 5. Hayashi R. 3. Kim Min-Kyu 7. Lau Chi-Lok (C) 4. Leung W. F. 23. Parra W. 14. Yakubu Nassam I.	25. Wong Tsz-Chung (G) 44. Bennie J. 6. Cheng Chun-Wang R. (C) 15. Dietrich E. 22. Ho Chun J. 18. Inoue T. 7. Khan N. 12. Law C. 75. Mirwasser W. 16. Montesinos L. 35. Moreira H.
Substitutes
13. Chan K. (G) 21. Cheung C. 30. Chow W. 79. Chow Y. I. 27. Lam Lok-Yin J. 67. Lau Y. 18. Lau Y. A. 11. Ma Y. 35. Panigazzi M. 37. Tsang C. 16. Wegener M. 31. Wong M.	3. Bloxham C. 99. Chan H. 77. Chan M. 4. Down T. P. 14. Ho T. 11. Kranick A. 28. Lai H. 39. Lau B. (G) 26. Ma C. 23. Salzmann L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Inoue T. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Yakubu Nassam I. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Khan N. ⚽,
30', 2 - 2, Yakubu Nassam I. ⚽,
34', Leung W. F. ↓, Cheung C. ↑,
38', 3 - 2, Lau Chi-Lok ⚽,
45+3', 4 - 2, Yakubu Nassam I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 5 - 2, Kim Min-Kyu ⚽,
55', Fung Kwun-Ming ↓, Lam Lok-Yin J. ↑,
58', Bennie J. ↓, Kranick A. ↑,
58', Dietrich E. ↓, Down T. P. ↑,
60', Kranick A. 🟨,
67', Cheung C. 🟨,
72', Cortes M. ↓, Lau Y. ↑,
72', Ansah M. ↓, Lau Y. A. ↑,
72', Cheng Tsz-Sum ↓, Tsang C. ↑,
80', Cheng Chun-Wang R. ↓, Chan H. ↑,
80', Ho Chun J. ↓, Chan M. ↑,
83', Yakubu Nassam I. 🟨,
89', Law C. ↓, Salzmann L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 5.

Hong Kong Rangers is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

HKFC's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hong Kong Rangers is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:8. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hong Kong Rangers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hong Kong Rangers	5	1	0	4	6:14	-8	3
11	Hong Kong FC	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong Rangers
Hong Kong Premier League
17.01.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Kitchee	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Lee Man	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Eastern District	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Hong Kong Rangers	6:1 ✺
19.10.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Eastern AA	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT
- Hong Kong FC
Hong Kong Premier League
18.01.26	Hong Kong FC - Eastern District	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Hong Kong FC - Kitchee	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Hong Kong FC - Kowloon City	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	2:2 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
15.11.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
14.09.25	Hong Kong FC - Hong Kong Rangers	0:2
Hong Kong FA Cup
19.04.25	Hong Kong FC - Hong Kong Rangers	1:4
Hong Kong Premier League
06.04.25	Hong Kong FC - Hong Kong Rangers	1:3
26.01.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Hong Kong FC	1:0
Hong Kong Senior Shield
26.10.24	Hong Kong Rangers - Hong Kong FC	1:0
Hong Kong Premier League
15.09.24	Hong Kong FC - Hong Kong Rangers	1:3
19.05.24	Hong Kong Rangers - Hong Kong FC	2:1

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