Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Hong Kong Football Club Stadium (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Hong Kong FC		Eastern District

	1	X	2
	5.7	4.05	1.46
	5.74	4.17	1.47	Watch
	5.75	3.8	1.44
	6.28	4	1.45	Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↓ (9.22)	4.04 ↓ (4.57)	1.46 ↑ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hong Kong FC
15.5%

Draw
22.4%

Eastern District
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.8%

19.9%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hong Kong FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hong Kong FC's performance.

Eastern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastern District might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Hong Kong FC - Eastern District Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastern District (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Eastern District (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Eastern District (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Shlyakotin O. (G) 44. Bennie J. 6. Cheng Chun-Wang R. 15. Dietrich E. 4. Down T. P. 22. Ho Chun J. 18. Inoue T. 7. Khan N. 12. Law C. 75. Mirwasser W. 16. Montesinos L.	23. Paulo Cesar (G) 8. Andric A. 15. Bruno Luiz 5. Helio 2. Jones L. 18. Kuach Yuel V. 16. Kwok T. B. 17. Manzoki C. 13. Razeek A. 47. Takatori S. 27. Yu Y. B.
Substitutes
3. Bloxham C. 99. Chan H. 77. Chan M. 14. Ho T. 11. Kranick A. 28. Lai H. 39. Lau B. (G) 26. Ma C. 67. McGunnigle C. 23. Salzmann L. 25. Wong Tsz-Chung (G)	11. Chang H. M. 26. Chan Y. 54. Chan Yin-Hei 10. Gu Bin 77. Ho K. 12. Lam C. 9. Leo 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 3. Wong C. S. 14. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan 72. Yoong K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Li Ngai-Hoi 🟨,
23', Takatori S. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Andric A. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Kuach Yuel V. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Inoue T. ↓, McGunnigle C. ↑,
61', Manzoki C. ↓, Leo ↑,
61', Jones L. ↓, Leung Y. ↑,
71', Bennie J. ↓, Kranick A. ↑,
76', Razeek A. ↓, Ho K. ↑,
82', Law C. 🟨,
83', Khan N. ↓, Ho T. ↑,
90', Kuach Yuel V. ↓, Chang H. M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 7).

HKFC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eastern District is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, HKFC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Eastern District	3	1	0	2	5:7	-2	3
11	Hong Kong FC	3	1	0	2	4:7	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Hong Kong FC - the odds 9.22 are the expected chance of winning is 9.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hong Kong FC
Hong Kong Premier League
11.01.26	Hong Kong FC - Kitchee	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Hong Kong FC - Kowloon City	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	2:2 ✺
Hong Kong League Cup
15.11.25	Hong Kong FC - Wofoo Tai Po	0:3 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
09.11.25	Hong Kong FC - Eastern AA	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLTLL
- Eastern District SA
Hong Kong Premier League
13.12.25	Eastern District - Southern District	0:1 ✺
02.12.25	Kitchee - Eastern District	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern District	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Eastern District	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Eastern District - Eastern AA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
20.09.25	Eastern District - Hong Kong FC	3:0

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