Match Info

FINLAND: Kansallinen Liiga Women - Relegation Group

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Tapiolan Urheilupuisto (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Honka		Ilves

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.6	3.2
	1.85	4	3.2
	1.84	3.72	3.24
	1.87	3.89	3.38	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.25
	1.9	3.6	3.4
	1.85	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.84)	3.76 ↓ (4)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
48.3%

Draw
24.1%

Ilves
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

22.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

17.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Honka - Ilves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ervasti E. (G) 8. Antikainen N. 6. Heikkinen I. (C) 17. Kuusniemi M. 19. Miettinen N. 3. Nyholm A. 77. Punsar M. 33. Sjoholm W. 12. Talvitie V. 15. Walta I. 27. Welling E.	37. Hautamaki N. (G) 3. Juvonen K. 88. Laine S. 8. Ljesnjanin A. 24. Makipelkola E. 5. Olmala A. (C) 27. Perkaus H. 17. Perttula T. 14. Rasinen A. 12. Spets V. 9. Tuomala S.
Substitutes
13. Eronen A. 35. Heikkila A. 10. Leppioja J. 84. Myllyoja P. (G) 44. Oljemark E. 9. Seiro E. 18. Todoshchenko J.	32. Karppinen R. (G) 7. Lehtila N. 13. Luotonen A. 23. Ojala L. 22. Olmala H. 15. Sarlin M. 4. Virkkala S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Ljesnjanin A. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Rasinen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Antikainen N. ↓, Seiro E. ↑,
48', Welling E. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Walta I. ⚽,
68', Punsar M. ↓, Leppioja J. ↑,
68', Kuusniemi M. ↓, Heikkila A. ↑,
68', Rasinen A. ↓, Olmala H. ↑,
74', Miettinen N. ↓, Todoshchenko J. ↑,
74', Spets V. ↓, Sarlin M. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Olmala H. ⚽,
78', Nyholm A. ↓, Eronen A. ↑,
84', Laine S. ↓, Lehtila N. ↑,
84', Perttula T. ↓, Luotonen A. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
02.10.24	Honka - PK-35 Helsinki	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	PKKU - Honka	1:4 ✺
Finnish Cup Women
22.09.24	HJK - Honka	2:1 ✺
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
31.08.24	PK-35 Helsinki - Honka	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Honka - Åland United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.09.24	Ilves - PK-35 Vantaa	0:3 ✺
19.09.24	Ilves - Jyväskylän PK	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	HPS - Ilves	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Ilves - PK-35 Helsinki	1:3 ✺
17.08.24	KuPS - Ilves	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
29.06.24	Honka - Ilves	2:1
13.04.24	Ilves - Honka	3:1
09.08.23	Ilves - Honka	0:2
20.05.23	Honka - Ilves	1:2
22.10.22	Ilves - Honka	0:3
17.09.22	Honka - Ilves	2:3
11.06.22	Honka - Ilves	1:1

Honka - Ilves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide