Match Info

Kansallinen Liiga Women - Championship Group

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	Ruutu+


	KuPS		Ilves

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.50	5.00
	1.30	4.90	6.75
	1.45	4.62	4.81
	1.42	4.78	5.51	Watch
	1.43	4.55	4.75
	1.39	4.80	5.75
	1.33	4.5	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.23)	4.66 ↓ (5.5)	5.56 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS
64.5%

Draw
19.3%

Ilves
16.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.6%

16.2%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KuPS's form might have worsened.

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

KuPS - Ilves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Arpiainen E. (G) 3. Beal R. M. 14. Hahl N. 23. Juusela N. 5. Kouva S. 4. Laaksonen S. 24. Makipelkola E. 27. Perkaus H. 7. Rochi G. (C) 18. Ukkonen P. 16. Viinikka T.	31. Maki-Kamppi V. (G) 21. Ahonen H. 2. Hakola L. 7. Heinonen I. 3. Italinna E. 10. Jantti C. 13. Luotonen A. 22. Olmala H. 4. Pirila R. 18. Pulkkinen E. 14. Rasinen A. (C)
Substitutes
20. Harmaala A. 12. Hautamaki N. (G) 13. Kauppila A.-M. 2. Leiwo S. 8. Oruetxebarria N. 6. Paavilainen L. 25. Partanen A. 11. Pulkkanen A. 30. Spenazzatto L.	41. Jamsa M. 19. Kallio I. 1. Korpi J. (G) 11. Lahteenmaki L. 56. Lilja T. 17. Tarkkanen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Laaksonen S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Rasinen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Beal R. M. ↓, Paavilainen L. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Rochi G. ⚽, Juusela N. (A),
58', Juusela N. ↓, Spenazzatto L. ↑,
58', Kouva S. ↓, Leiwo S. ↑,
58', Ukkonen P. ↓, Oruetxebarria N. ↑,
68', Ahonen H. ↓, Tarkkanen A. ↑,
77', Luotonen A. ↓, Lahteenmaki L. ↑,
78', Olmala H. ↓, Lilja T. ↑,
87', Spenazzatto L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

KuPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, KuPS is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 59:20. (average 3.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:7. (average 4:0.9).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	KuPS W	24	14	3	7	48:30	18	45
5	Ilves W	24	8	3	13	42:52	-10	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
17.08.26	HJK - KuPS	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	HPS - KuPS	3:2 ✺
25.07.26	Gnistan - KuPS	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	KuPS - Åland United	1:3 ✺
12.07.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- FC Ilves Women
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
15.08.26	Ilves - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	HPS - Ilves	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Ilves - Gnistan	2:2 ✺
12.07.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:4 ✺
04.07.26	Ilves - Åland United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
12.07.26	KuPS - Ilves	2:4
09.05.26	Ilves - KuPS	2:3
Finnish Cup Women
30.07.25	Ilves - KuPS	4:3 ET
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
17.08.24	KuPS - Ilves	8:0
Finnish Cup Women
03.08.24	KuPS - Ilves	2:0
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
25.05.24	Ilves - KuPS	2:3
Finnish Cup Women
31.08.23	Ilves - KuPS	1:6

KuPS - Ilves