Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Tapiolan Urheilupuisto (Espoo)

Referee: Nevalainen V. (Fin)


	Honka		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4	6.25
	1.53	4.1	5.8
	1.56	4.17	6.68
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.53	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.52	4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)	4.02 ↑ (4)	6.24 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
61.6%

Draw
23.4%

KTP Kotka
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

22.6%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

KTP Kotka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Honka - KTP Kotka Predictions

Users Predictions: Honka will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rudakov M. (G) 26. Naamo D. 21. Koski V. 23. Hernandez A. 47. Aijala E. 15. Arko-Mensah E. 11. Krebs F. 8. Jansen K. 7. Bauque C. 13. Eremenko R. 9. Alegria J.	1. Leislahti R. (G) 3. Nurmos L. 5. Ogungbaro M. 4. Klinkenberg D. 27. Manthatis G. 8. Laaksonen J. 6. Vesiaho V. 18. Pecile D. 7. Makela J. 29. Mika 10. Furtado W.
Substitutes
4. Baak F. 10. Kaufmann L. 88. Koskinen O. 17. Laine L. 32. Ortiz L. 12. Paunio R. (G) 14. Saarikivi N.	28. de Vries J. 23. Lindfors M. 25. Niemela M. (G) 11. Pozo W. 32. Ramadingaye D. 20. Roiha S. 21. Sandberg G.
Coaches
Vasara V.	Leppalahti J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Honka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Honka is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Honka won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.05.23	Oulu - Honka	1:3 ✺
13.05.23	Honka - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
09.05.23	Honka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Honka - Lahti	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWT
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.05.23	KTP Kotka - SJK	0:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	MYPA - KTP Kotka	0:14 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.05.23	Lahti - KTP Kotka	0:0 ✺
09.05.23	KTP Kotka - HJK	3:3 ✺
05.05.23	Haka - KTP Kotka	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
04.02.23	Honka - KTP Kotka	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.10.21	KTP Kotka - Honka	2:0
11.09.21	Honka - KTP Kotka	3:1
07.05.21	KTP Kotka - Honka	1:3
Finnish Cup
27.01.18	Honka - KTP Kotka	1:0
04.03.17	KTP Kotka - Honka	0:2
Club Friendly
17.02.16	Honka - KTP Kotka	3:0

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