Match Info

Ykkosliiga

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Tehtaan Kenttä (Valkeakoski)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Haka		KTP Kotka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.72	Watch
	2.48	3.58	2.8
	2.47	3.44	2.71	Watch
	2.35	3.5	2.75
	2.43	3.61	2.63	Watch
	2.33	3.2	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.27)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)	2.71 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haka
38.6%

Draw
27%

KTP Kotka
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

28.2%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haka than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Haka - KTP Kotka Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Haka will win (votes: 4 - 80%). KTP will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lepola A. (C) 9. Ali Abubakar T. 4. Auvinen E. 3. Friberg N. 8. Karlsson J. 44. Keto-Diyawa A. 16. Laaksonen O. 11. Lanquedoc I. 30. Purosalo V. 6. Silas C. 77. Whyte O.	33. Zhuk M. (G) 3. Agyei D. 4. Chibuzor C. 8. Coker M. 10. Forsell P. 5. Holtta S. 7. Makela J. (C) 17. Manneh F. 26. Paavola M. 19. Polat R. 37. Tanaka A.
Substitutes
7. Lahdensuo T. 23. Lehtinen T. 13. Mahlamaki M. 21. Nurmi K. 24. Sitchinava N. 5. Sovelius T. 15. Syrjalainen M. 2. Tiihonen A. 1. Ziprus J. (G)	18. Eloluoto O. 21. Hanninen O. 2. Huttunen O. 25. Leikas J. (G) 30. Puhakainen L. 20. Tulehmo A.
Coaches
Ekmark T.	Pasoja J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Coker M. ⚽,
42', Karlsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Keto-Diyawa A. ↓, Nurmi K. ↑,
53', Makela J. 🟨,
60', Whyte O. ↓, Lahdensuo T. ↑,
63', Holtta S. ↓, Puhakainen L. ↑,
63', Polat R. ↓, Hanninen O. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Manneh F. ⚽,
73', Lanquedoc I. ↓, Mahlamaki M. ↑,
79', Laaksonen O. 🟨,
83', Friberg N. ↓, Sitchinava N. ↑,
90+3', Manneh F. ↓, Eloluoto O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haka won 2.

In recent matches, Haka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

KTP is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Haka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Haka won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:22. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Haka won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Haka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
15.06.26	SJK Akatemia - Haka	0:2 ✺
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Haka - JäPS	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Haka - JIPPO	2:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	VPS Vaasa - Haka	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL
- KTP Kotka
Finnish Ykkosliiga
12.06.26	KTP Kotka - Ekenäs	5:1 ✺
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	KaPa - KTP Kotka	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	KTP Kotka - SJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Klubi 04 - KTP Kotka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
08.06.26	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.10.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	1:2
26.07.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	2:3
23.05.25	KTP Kotka - Haka	0:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.01.25	Haka - KTP Kotka	3:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.10.23	Haka - KTP Kotka	2:0
21.08.23	KTP Kotka - Haka	1:2

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