Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Referee: Simani P. (Fin)


	Oulu		Honka

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.4
	2.9	3.15	2.5
	3.11	3.22	2.53
	2.88	3	2.4
	2.93	3.24	2.46	Watch
	3	3.1	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (3.7)	3.13 ↓ (3.26)	2.44 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
31.6%

Draw
30%

Honka
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.7%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

28.4%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oulu's performance.

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Honka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Honka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	33.3%	44.4%

Oulu - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Honka will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honka: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oulu won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Oulu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Oulu won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Oulu won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Cup
17.05.23	SJK - Oulu	1:4 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.05.23	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	2:1 ✺
09.05.23	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Ilves - Oulu	1:2 ✺
29.04.23	Oulu - SJK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWLWL
- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
13.05.23	Honka - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
09.05.23	Honka - Haka	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Honka - Lahti	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:0 ✺
24.04.23	Haka - Honka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.08.22	Honka - Oulu	2:2
13.05.22	Oulu - Honka	2:1
27.10.21	Honka - Oulu	6:1
11.07.21	Honka - Oulu	1:0
11.06.21	Oulu - Honka	0:2
Finnish Cup
17.06.20	Oulu - Honka	0:1
16.03.19	Oulu - Honka	0:1

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