Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA - CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - FINAL

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	VPS Vaasa		Honka

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.5
	2.13	3.35	3.55	Watch
	2.13	3.44	3.7
	2.12	3.46	3.74
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.03	3.4	3.64	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.13)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)	3.57 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VPS Vaasa
45.3%

Draw
28.3%

Honka
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

27.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

26.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VPS Vaasa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VPS Vaasa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

VPS Vaasa - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. VPS will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for VPS: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marttinen T. (G) 5. Pitkanen M. 3. Pikkarainen J. 25. Lindeman S. 20. Reid T. 21. Ahiabu P. 34. Raisanen A. 4. Engstrom J. (C) 14. Michael P. 44. Bashkirov E. 18. Sawyer H.	1. Rudakov M. (G) 26. Naamo D. 21. Koski V. 23. Hernandez A. 5. Aalto H. (C) 11. Krebs F. 13. Eremenko R. 32. Ortiz L. 9. Wurtz J. 17. Laine L. 15. Arko-Mensah E.
Substitutes
77. Alanko S. 28. Hudd R. 13. Mensah B. 23. Niemi M. 11. Savio Roberto 8. Strandvall S. 15. Viscosi J. (G)	47. Aijala E. 24. Banahene N. 88. Koskinen O. 16. Muzinga J. 3. Ojala J. 12. Paunio R. (G) 48. Ulundu V.
Coaches
Nuorela J.	Vasara V.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5).

VPS is Qualified for Europa Conference League (Qualification )

Last 5 head-to-head matches VPS won 2.

VPS in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Honka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Honka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Honka have a series of home games.

VPS will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 19 head-to-head matches VPS won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-25.

Including matches at home between the teams VPS won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VPS Vaasa
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.11.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	SJK - VPS Vaasa	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	VPS Vaasa - HJK	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWWTW
- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.11.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Honka - Oulu	5:0 ✺
25.10.23	Honka - Inter Turku	1:0 penalties ✺
21.10.23	Honka - Inter Turku	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	KuPS Kuopio - Honka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.11.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:1
22.09.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	0:3
27.06.23	Honka - VPS Vaasa	1:0
29.04.23	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:0
30.07.22	Honka - VPS Vaasa	4:0
22.06.22	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:1
Finnish Cup
13.03.21	VPS Vaasa - Honka	0:4

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