Match Info

Kakkonen Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Project Liv Arena (Pietarsaari)


	JBK		Honka

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.10	1.47
	6.10	4.30	1.38
	5.80	4.88	1.54
	6.4	4.76	1.38	Watch
	4.40	4.80	1.52
	5.35	4.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (2.72)	4.58 ↑ (4.42)	1.45 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JBK
16.6%

Draw
20.1%

Honka
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

21.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

21.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JBK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JBK's form might have worsened.

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JBK than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JBK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Honka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

JBK - Honka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Kaldstrom H. (G) 14. Bjorkskog R. 11. Chaves M. 22. Forsen J. 2. Hassan K. 12. Moses K. (C) 26. Ostman B. 20. Sotelo G. 7. Strang C. 5. Stromback A. 29. Wargh M.	30. King S. (G) 17. Ahokas B. 3. Aijala E. 20. Al Wehliye K. 2. Hamalainen J. 46. Haruna B. 22. Jannes A. 27. Lehto J. 23. Liikonen K. (C) 29. Paraiso A. 25. Ritala A.
Substitutes
1. Brunell A. (G) 15. Forsen D. 27. Forss R. 10. Franklin M. 32. Hansell A. 21. Jarvenlahti T. 16. Ost J. 6. Siro J.	14. Chukwu N. 11. Heikkinen B. 13. Huttunen O. 6. Pyyskanen R. 15. Sundman J. 5. Tukia O. 28. Umeh C. 12. Viljala V. (G) 8. Woivalin H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Forsen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Stromback A. 🟨,
56', Lehto J. ↓, Heikkinen B. ↑,
57', Liikonen K. ↓, Pyyskanen R. ↑,
60', Forsen J. ↓, Franklin M. ↑,
62', Hassan K. 🟨,
72', Wargh M. ↓, Ost J. ↑,
75', Hamalainen J. ↓, Chukwu N. ↑,
83', Sotelo G. ↓, Forss R. ↑,
84', Haruna B. ↓, Umeh C. ↑,
88', Ostman B. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Bookmakers give the edge to Honka for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, JBK has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3.

Specifically in home fixtures for JBK against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

JBK - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 35.07%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JBK
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
19.09.26	JBK - Jaro 2	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	VPS 2 - JBK	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	GBK Kokkola - JBK	3:0 ✺
02.09.26	JBK - Huima Urho	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	JBK - Närpes	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLTW
- FC Honka
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
19.09.26	Honka - Åbo IFK	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ilves 2 - Honka	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Honka - HJS	5:1 ✺
02.09.26	Espoon Palloseura - Honka	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Honka - P-Iirot Rauma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
29.03.14	JBK - Honka	1:3

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