Match Info
Serie D - Round 12Date: 13 July 2025, SundayLocation: Domingão (Horizonte)
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Horizonte |
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Ferroviário Fortaleza |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.7 |
3 |
2.37 |
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 |
3.25 |
3.2 |
2.05 |
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 |
3.1 |
3.14 |
2.06 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
3.27 |
3.18 |
2.09 |
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 |
2.72 |
3.03 |
2.37 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.8) |
3.11 ↑
(3.1) |
2.19 ↓
(2.32) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Horizonte
29.9% | Draw
28.9% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
41.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horizonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-2.8%)Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferroviário (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Cesar Sampaio ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 77', 2 - 0, Caio ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horizonte won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Horizonte won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Horizonte won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 04.05.25 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Cearense | | | 19.01.25 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte | 1:2 | | 19.01.20 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte | 2:0 | | 10.03.19 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte | 1:1 | | 23.01.19 | Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza | 1:1 | | 13.01.18 | Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte | 4:0 | | 26.03.17 | Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza | 1:1 |
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