Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Leatherhead

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.6	6.25
	1.35	5.16	7.77
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.35	5.05	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	4.89 ↓ (5)	6.83 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
67.8%

Draw
18.8%

Leatherhead
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18.5%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.3%

16.1%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Leatherhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Hornchurch - Leatherhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Hornchurch is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leatherhead has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hornchurch is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.21	Hornchurch - Cheshunt	0:1 ✺
09.10.21	East Thurrock United - Hornchurch	4:3 ✺
English FA Cup
05.10.21	Hornchurch - Bowers & Pitsea	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Bowers & Pitsea - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.09.21	Lewes - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLTW
- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.10.21	Lewes - Leatherhead	5:0 ✺
09.10.21	Leatherhead - Enfield Town	0:3 ✺
05.10.21	Bognor Regis Town - Leatherhead	3:2 ✺
02.10.21	Leatherhead - Haringey Borough	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Bishops Stortford - Leatherhead	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.01.20	Hornchurch - Leatherhead	1:1
19.10.19	Leatherhead - Hornchurch	2:1
23.02.19	Leatherhead - Hornchurch	1:2
11.08.18	Hornchurch - Leatherhead	3:0
03.03.15	Hornchurch - Leatherhead	1:3
23.08.14	Leatherhead - Hornchurch	1:2

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