Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Bognor Regis Town		Leatherhead

	1	X	2
	1.52	4	4.75
	1.48	4.2	5.2
	1.52	4.4	5.67
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.54	4.25	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)	4.17 ↓ (4.5)	5.09 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
60.2%

Draw
21.9%

Leatherhead
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2%

16.5%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Leatherhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bognor Regis Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Bognor Regis Town - Leatherhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Bognor Regis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leatherhead is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bognor Regis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bognor Regis is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.10.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Bognor Regis Town	0:5 ✺
25.09.21	Bognor Regis Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
18.09.21	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
14.09.21	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Bognor Regis Town - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTTW
- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.10.21	Leatherhead - Haringey Borough	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Bishops Stortford - Leatherhead	7:0 ✺
English FA Cup
21.09.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Leatherhead	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
14.09.21	Leatherhead - Worthing	0:4 ✺
11.09.21	Margate - Leatherhead	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.01.20	Leatherhead - Bognor Regis Town	1:2
01.10.19	Bognor Regis Town - Leatherhead	5:1
23.03.19	Bognor Regis Town - Leatherhead	0:4
03.11.18	Leatherhead - Bognor Regis Town	2:2
04.03.17	Bognor Regis Town - Leatherhead	1:0
19.11.16	Leatherhead - Bognor Regis Town	1:3
09.04.16	Bognor Regis Town - Leatherhead	5:0

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