Match Info

Date: 12 October 2021, Tuesday


	Lewes		Leatherhead

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.31	5	7
	1.32	5.46	8.37
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.29	5.45	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	4.98 ↓ (5.4)	7.29 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
69%

Draw
18.4%

Leatherhead
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.2%

17.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

80.8%

15.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Leatherhead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lewes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leatherhead than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lewes - Leatherhead Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Lewes is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Leatherhead has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lewes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lewes is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Lewes won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Lewes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.10.21	Margate - Lewes	2:6 ✺
25.09.21	Lewes - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Brightlingsea Regent - Lewes	0:4 ✺
14.09.21	Merstham - Lewes	1:3 ✺
11.09.21	Lewes - Enfield Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWW
- Leatherhead
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.10.21	Leatherhead - Enfield Town	0:3 ✺
05.10.21	Bognor Regis Town - Leatherhead	3:2 ✺
02.10.21	Leatherhead - Haringey Borough	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Bishops Stortford - Leatherhead	7:0 ✺
English FA Cup
21.09.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Leatherhead	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
07.12.19	Lewes - Leatherhead	0:1
English FA Cup
11.09.19	Lewes - Leatherhead	3:2 penalties
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.08.19	Leatherhead - Lewes	1:4
13.04.19	Leatherhead - Lewes	1:1
01.12.18	Lewes - Leatherhead	1:0
24.10.15	Lewes - Leatherhead	3:4
08.08.15	Leatherhead - Lewes	3:0

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