Match Info

1st Division - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Nordstern Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		Middelfart

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	4.5
	1.43	4.33	6.25
	1.43	4.55	6.75	Watch
	1.72	4.05	4.86
	1.60	3.66	5.80	Watch
	1.42	4.55	7.33	Watch
	1.4	4.55	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)	4.23 ↓ (4.55)	6.04 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Horsens
62%

Draw
22.4%

Middelfart
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

20.3%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

18.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Horsens - Middelfart Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Middelfart (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Horsens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsens (votes: 3 - 60%). Middelfart (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delac M. (C) 4. Hausner S. 24. Kolskogen O. 12. Tape C. 30. Doua S. 16. Moro A. 32. Olsen P. 7. Milicevic I. 29. Brandhof F. 10. Kirkegaard K. 11. Pingel S.	1. Radza C. (G) 7. Linnet J. (C) 4. Vetter J. 17. Greve M. 2. Reese S. 14. Barholt N. 18. Wielzen J. 11. Villemoes J. 6. Kakeeto R. 20. Jorgensen L. 9. Boesen M.
Substitutes
22. Batigi J. 31. Hoff A. (G) 33. Ludwig A. 20. Lusavec K. 14. Madsen J. 27. Ouorou Y. 34. Roslyng F. 28. Saine A. 25. Sene F.	10. Akale A. 22. Boyum Johansen C. 8. Bytyqi B. 27. Hansen M. 23. Kwasniak V. 15. Nielsen M. 88. Nyborg W. (G) 25. Pedersen S. 5. Zjajo B.
Coaches
Nielsen D.	Engstrom K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Pingel S. 🟨,
38', Wielzen J. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Pingel S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Pingel S. ⚽,
59', Jorgensen L. ↓, Bytyqi B. ↑,
59', Boesen M. ↓, Akale A. ↑,
60', Kolskogen O. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
71', Roslyng F. 🟨,
72', Milicevic I. ↓, Madsen J. ↑,
73', Pingel S. ↓, Sene F. ↑,
73', Doua S. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
83', Tape C. ↓, Ludwig A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

Horsens has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Middelfart is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Middelfart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Middelfart has had a series of away games.

In this match, Horsens is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:1. (average 2.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
04.08.25	Hvidovre - Horsens	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Horsens - Kolding IF	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Horsens - Aarhus Fremad	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Lyngby BK - Horsens	1:0 ✺
02.07.25	AGF Aarhus - Horsens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTLL
- Middelfart G&BK
Danish Landspokal Cup
05.08.25	OKS Odense - Middelfart	2:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
02.08.25	Middelfart - Esbjerg	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Hobro - Middelfart	0:0 ✺
19.07.25	Hillerød - Middelfart	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	HB Køge - Middelfart	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.23	Horsens - Middelfart	2:1
19.01.21	Horsens - Middelfart	4:0
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.10.18	Middelfart - Horsens	0:3
Club Friendly
08.02.17	Horsens - Middelfart	2:0

Upcoming Matches