Match Info

1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Capelli Sport Stadion (Koge)

Referee: Klarlund F. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	HB Køge		Middelfart

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.1	5.25
	1.62	4.05	4.95	Watch
	1.61	4.27	5.15
	1.63	4.24	4.64	Watch
	1.57	3.8	4.8
	1.58	4.06	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.13)	4.09 ↑ (3.53)	5 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HB Køge
58.5%

Draw
22.8%

Middelfart
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HB Køge's performance.

Middelfart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Middelfart might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

HB Køge - Middelfart Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Køge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: HB Køge will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Sommergaard N. (G) 14. Sorensen V. 23. Westergren M. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 21. Jakobsen N. 7. Jensen M. (C) 27. Romer M. 28. Larsen G. 20. Gothler A. 9. Thomsen T.	1. Radza C. (G) 7. Linnet J. 3. Kristensen M. 12. Thomsen L. (C) 2. Matiebel P. 25. Pedersen S. 26. Juul-Sandberg N. 6. Kakeeto R. 5. Zjajo B. 18. Wielzen J. 9. Boesen M.
Substitutes
35. Achton L. 17. Alkhoudari B. 1. Bayrak B. (G) 6. Brodersen R. 34. Choukri A. 31. Engberg O. 16. Hald S. 11. Mudi 19. Semovski E.	10. Akale A. 21. Andersen E. 17. Greve M. 28. Hegelund V. 16. Hutters J. (G) 20. Koch R. 22. Kristensen L. 15. Nielsen M. 8. Praest M.
Coaches
Pedersen N.	Johannsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jakobsen N. ↓, Brodersen R. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Gothler A. ⚽, Jensen M. (A),
67', Boesen M. ↓, Akale A. ↑,
68', Zjajo B. ↓, Praest M. ↑,
69', Larsen G. 🟨,
75', Kakeeto R. ↓, Koch R. ↑,
78', Larsen G. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
86', Pedersen S. ↓, Andersen E. ↑,
87', Kristensen M. ↓, Greve M. ↑,
88', Gothler A. ↓, Mudi ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Thomsen T. ⚽,
90+3', Mudi 🟨,

Preview

Køge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Middelfart has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Køge is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Køge won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Køge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Koge: 1.02%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Koge	9	1	4	4	11:17	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
06.04.26	HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	HB Køge - Lyngby BK	3:3 ✺
13.03.26	B.93 Copenhagen - HB Køge	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	HB Køge - Esbjerg	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Hobro - HB Køge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTLLT
- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 1 Division
04.04.26	Middelfart - Aalborg BK	2:5 ✺
21.03.26	Middelfart - Hobro	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Lyngby BK - Middelfart	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Middelfart - Hvidovre	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Aarhus Fremad - Middelfart	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
29.11.25	HB Køge - Middelfart	1:2
16.08.25	Middelfart - HB Køge	2:2
Club Friendly
05.07.25	HB Køge - Middelfart	5:0

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