Match Info

National League South - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)


	Horsham		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.28
	2.93	3.58	2.23	Watch
	2.88	3.3	2.2
	2.93	3.22	2.23
	3	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.79)	3.36 ↓ (3.46)	2.22 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
31.4%

Draw
27.3%

Maidenhead United
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

26.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Horsham - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Hammond J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Dulson L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, Welch-Hayes M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Robinson M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Horsham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maidenhead is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maidenhead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Horsham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidenhead: 2.3% Horsham FC: 1.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Maidenhead	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Horsham - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Maidenhead United - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.86%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English National League South
30.12.25	Horsham - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Horsham	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Horsham - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Horsham	0:2 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Chippenham Town - Horsham	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWW
- Maidenhead United
English National League South
26.12.25	Maidenhead United - Slough Town	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidenhead United	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidenhead United	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Maidenhead United - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Maidenhead United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.08.25	Maidenhead United - Horsham	2:1

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